Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
23%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,743,22sigur0,51–2,450,89–2,601,40–5,04mai sigur0,26–2,700,66–2,830,92–5,52
Șuturi pe poartă
36%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,005,6910,69sigur3,14–6,873,95–7,437,09–14,30mai sigur2,65–7,353,48–7,906,13–15,25
Total șuturi
41%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4215,2029,63sigur10,50–18,3511,64–18,7722,14–37,12mai sigur9,41–19,4410,68–19,7320,09–39,17
Șuturi din careu
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,7410,0219,75sigur6,80–12,687,33–12,7014,13–25,38mai sigur5,97–13,516,60–13,4312,56–26,94
Șuturi blocate
41%
14%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,904,057,95sigur2,02–5,782,40–5,704,41–11,48mai sigur1,47–6,321,91–6,203,38–12,52
Cornere
30%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,755,9410,69sigur2,54–6,963,94–7,946,47–14,90mai sigur1,96–7,543,40–8,475,37–16,01
Posesie %
30%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,2354,10sigur39,44–53,0247,32–60,89mai sigur37,77–54,6945,65–62,56
Pase
34%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție402452854sigur335–469386–519720–988mai sigur316–487368–536685–1023
Precizie pase %
19%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,1572,32sigur62,12–70,1867,99–76,64mai sigur60,83–71,4766,68–77,95
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1311,0023,13sigur9,29–14,978,05–13,9417,35–28,91mai sigur8,54–15,737,30–14,6915,84–30,41
Ofsaiduri
50%
20%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,261,744,00sigur1,10–3,420,65–2,831,75–6,26mai sigur0,80–3,720,36–3,121,16–6,84
Cartonașe galbene
46%
21%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,071,733,80sigur1,02–3,120,60–2,861,62–5,98mai sigur0,76–3,390,31–3,151,07–6,54
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,423,376,79sigur1,99–4,861,81–4,933,80–9,78mai sigur1,60–5,251,39–5,352,99–10,60
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,48 0,51–2,45 0,26–2,70 | 1,74 0,89–2,60 0,66–2,83 | 3,22 1,40–5,04 0,92–5,52 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,00 3,14–6,87 2,65–7,35 | 5,69 3,95–7,43 3,48–7,90 | 10,69 7,09–14,30 6,13–15,25 | 36% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 14,42 10,50–18,35 9,41–19,44 | 15,20 11,64–18,77 10,68–19,73 | 29,63 22,14–37,12 20,09–39,17 | 41% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,74 6,80–12,68 5,97–13,51 | 10,02 7,33–12,70 6,60–13,43 | 19,75 14,13–25,38 12,56–26,94 | 43% 48% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,90 2,02–5,78 1,47–6,32 | 4,05 2,40–5,70 1,91–6,20 | 7,95 4,41–11,48 3,38–12,52 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Cornere | 4,75 2,54–6,96 1,96–7,54 | 5,94 3,94–7,94 3,40–8,47 | 10,69 6,47–14,90 5,37–16,01 | 30% 58% |
| Posesie % | 46,23 39,44–53,02 37,77–54,69 | 54,10 47,32–60,89 45,65–62,56 | — | 30% 66% |
| Pase | 402 335–469 316–487 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 854 720–988 685–1023 | 34% 66% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,15 62,12–70,18 60,83–71,47 | 72,32 67,99–76,64 66,68–77,95 | — | 19% 77% |
| Faulturi | 12,13 9,29–14,97 8,54–15,73 | 11,00 8,05–13,94 7,30–14,69 | 23,13 17,35–28,91 15,84–30,41 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,26 1,10–3,42 0,80–3,72 | 1,74 0,65–2,83 0,36–3,12 | 4,00 1,75–6,26 1,16–6,84 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,07 1,02–3,12 0,76–3,39 | 1,73 0,60–2,86 0,31–3,15 | 3,80 1,62–5,98 1,07–6,54 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,42 1,99–4,86 1,60–5,25 | 3,37 1,81–4,93 1,39–5,35 | 6,79 3,80–9,78 2,99–10,60 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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