Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
15%
18%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,032,343,38sigur0,06–2,001,49–3,201,55–5,20mai sigur0,00–2,251,26–3,431,07–5,68
Șuturi pe poartă
16%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,646,259,89sigur1,78–5,504,50–7,996,28–13,49mai sigur1,29–5,994,04–8,455,33–14,45
Total șuturi
15%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4016,3627,76sigur7,48–15,3312,80–19,9320,28–35,25mai sigur6,38–16,4211,84–20,8918,23–37,30
Șuturi din careu
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,7811,4418,22sigur3,84–9,728,76–14,1312,60–23,85mai sigur3,01–10,558,03–14,8611,03–25,41
Șuturi blocate
24%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,424,918,33sigur1,54–5,313,26–6,564,80–11,87mai sigur1,00–5,852,77–7,063,76–12,91
Cornere
25%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,386,0010,37sigur2,16–6,594,00–8,006,16–14,58mai sigur1,59–7,163,46–8,535,05–15,69
Posesie %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,8858,69sigur36,09–49,6751,90–65,47mai sigur34,42–51,3450,23–67,14
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție406550956sigur339–473483–616822–1090mai sigur321–492466–634786–1125
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,0076,86sigur60,97–69,0272,53–81,18mai sigur59,67–70,3271,22–82,49
Faulturi
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0110,7720,78sigur7,17–12,857,83–13,7115,00–26,56mai sigur6,41–13,607,08–14,4613,49–28,06
Ofsaiduri
46%
22%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,991,643,63sigur0,83–3,150,55–2,741,38–5,89mai sigur0,53–3,450,26–3,030,79–6,48
Cartonașe galbene
40%
24%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,442,97sigur0,48–2,580,31–2,570,80–5,15mai sigur0,22–2,850,02–2,860,24–5,71
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,080,18sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,400,00–0,81
Parade portar
59%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,682,606,28sigur2,25–5,121,05–4,163,29–9,28mai sigur1,86–5,510,62–4,582,48–10,09
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,03 0,06–2,00 0,00–2,25 | 2,34 1,49–3,20 1,26–3,43 | 3,38 1,55–5,20 1,07–5,68 | 15% 18% 67% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,64 1,78–5,50 1,29–5,99 | 6,25 4,50–7,99 4,04–8,45 | 9,89 6,28–13,49 5,33–14,45 | 16% 75% |
| Total șuturi | 11,40 7,48–15,33 6,38–16,42 | 16,36 12,80–19,93 11,84–20,89 | 27,76 20,28–35,25 18,23–37,30 | 15% 80% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,78 3,84–9,72 3,01–10,55 | 11,44 8,76–14,13 8,03–14,86 | 18,22 12,60–23,85 11,03–25,41 | 84% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,42 1,54–5,31 1,00–5,85 | 4,91 3,26–6,56 2,77–7,06 | 8,33 4,80–11,87 3,76–12,91 | 24% 63% |
| Cornere | 4,38 2,16–6,59 1,59–7,16 | 6,00 4,00–8,00 3,46–8,53 | 10,37 6,16–14,58 5,05–15,69 | 25% 64% |
| Posesie % | 42,88 36,09–49,67 34,42–51,34 | 58,69 51,90–65,47 50,23–67,14 | — | 16% 81% |
| Pase | 406 339–473 321–492 | 550 483–616 466–634 | 956 822–1090 786–1125 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,00 60,97–69,02 59,67–70,32 | 76,86 72,53–81,18 71,22–82,49 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 10,01 7,17–12,85 6,41–13,60 | 10,77 7,83–13,71 7,08–14,46 | 20,78 15,00–26,56 13,49–28,06 | 39% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,99 0,83–3,15 0,53–3,45 | 1,64 0,55–2,74 0,26–3,03 | 3,63 1,38–5,89 0,79–6,48 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,53 0,48–2,58 0,22–2,85 | 1,44 0,31–2,57 0,02–2,86 | 2,97 0,80–5,15 0,24–5,71 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,68 2,25–5,12 1,86–5,51 | 2,60 1,05–4,16 0,62–4,58 | 6,28 3,29–9,28 2,48–10,09 | 59% 15% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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