Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,843,30sigur0,50–2,440,98–2,691,48–5,13mai sigur0,25–2,690,75–2,921,00–5,61
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
13%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,724,849,56sigur2,85–6,583,10–6,585,95–13,16mai sigur2,36–7,072,63–7,054,99–14,12
Total șuturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6214,2526,87sigur8,70–16,5510,68–17,8119,38–34,35mai sigur7,60–17,649,72–18,7717,33–36,40
Șuturi din careu
30%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4410,2118,65sigur5,49–11,387,53–12,8913,02–24,27mai sigur4,66–12,216,79–13,6311,46–25,84
Șuturi blocate
46%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,893,667,55sigur2,01–5,772,00–5,314,01–11,08mai sigur1,47–6,321,51–5,802,98–12,12
Cornere
40%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,935,2410,17sigur2,72–7,143,24–7,245,96–14,38mai sigur2,14–7,722,71–7,774,85–15,49
Posesie %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,1955,78sigur38,40–51,9848,99–62,56mai sigur36,73–53,6547,32–64,23
Pase
20%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție423523946sigur356–490457–590813–1080mai sigur338–508439–607777–1116
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,1073,04sigur60,07–68,1368,72–77,37mai sigur58,78–69,4367,41–78,68
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7012,2822,98sigur7,87–13,549,34–15,2217,20–28,77mai sigur7,11–14,308,59–15,9715,70–30,27
Ofsaiduri
25%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,432,173,60sigur0,27–2,591,08–3,261,35–5,85mai sigur0,00–2,890,79–3,550,76–6,44
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,582,163,74sigur0,53–2,631,04–3,291,56–5,92mai sigur0,26–2,890,74–3,591,01–6,48
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,443,116,55sigur2,00–4,881,56–4,673,56–9,55mai sigur1,62–5,261,13–5,092,75–10,36
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,47 0,50–2,44 0,25–2,69 | 1,84 0,98–2,69 0,75–2,92 | 3,30 1,48–5,13 1,00–5,61 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,72 2,85–6,58 2,36–7,07 | 4,84 3,10–6,58 2,63–7,05 | 9,56 5,95–13,16 4,99–14,12 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 12,62 8,70–16,55 7,60–17,64 | 14,25 10,68–17,81 9,72–18,77 | 26,87 19,38–34,35 17,33–36,40 | 34% 59% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,44 5,49–11,38 4,66–12,21 | 10,21 7,53–12,89 6,79–13,63 | 18,65 13,02–24,27 11,46–25,84 | 30% 62% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,89 2,01–5,77 1,47–6,32 | 3,66 2,00–5,31 1,51–5,80 | 7,55 4,01–11,08 2,98–12,12 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Cornere | 4,93 2,72–7,14 2,14–7,72 | 5,24 3,24–7,24 2,71–7,77 | 10,17 5,96–14,38 4,85–15,49 | 40% 47% |
| Posesie % | 45,19 38,40–51,98 36,73–53,65 | 55,78 48,99–62,56 47,32–64,23 | — | 25% 71% |
| Pase | 423 356–490 338–508 | 523 457–590 439–607 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 20% 80% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,10 60,07–68,13 58,78–69,43 | 73,04 68,72–77,37 67,41–78,68 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 10,70 7,87–13,54 7,11–14,30 | 12,28 9,34–15,22 8,59–15,97 | 22,98 17,20–28,77 15,70–30,27 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,43 0,27–2,59 0,00–2,89 | 2,17 1,08–3,26 0,79–3,55 | 3,60 1,35–5,85 0,76–6,44 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,63 0,26–2,89 | 2,16 1,04–3,29 0,74–3,59 | 3,74 1,56–5,92 1,01–6,48 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,44 2,00–4,88 1,62–5,26 | 3,11 1,56–4,67 1,13–5,09 | 6,55 3,56–9,55 2,75–10,36 | 47% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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