Bundesliga·Etapa 17·
Bundesliga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
22%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,921,163,08sigur0,95–2,890,31–2,011,25–4,90mai sigur0,70–3,140,08–2,240,78–5,38
Șuturi pe poartă
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,354,069,41sigur3,49–7,212,32–5,815,81–13,02mai sigur3,00–7,701,85–6,274,85–13,98
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,4710,6127,09sigur12,55–20,407,05–14,1819,60–34,57mai sigur11,46–21,496,09–15,1417,55–36,62
Șuturi din careu
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,156,9118,07sigur8,21–14,104,23–9,5912,44–23,69mai sigur7,38–14,933,49–10,3310,88–25,26
Șuturi blocate
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,772,927,69sigur2,89–6,651,27–4,574,15–11,22mai sigur2,34–7,190,77–5,063,12–12,26
Cornere
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,343,7010,05sigur4,13–8,551,70–5,705,83–14,26mai sigur3,55–9,131,17–6,244,72–15,37
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,4642,95sigur50,67–64,2536,16–49,73mai sigur49,00–65,9234,49–51,41
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție538396934sigur470–605330–463800–1067mai sigur452–623312–480764–1103
Precizie pase %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,7572,41sigur72,72–80,7868,09–76,74mai sigur71,42–82,0766,78–78,05
Faulturi
58%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,079,5920,66sigur8,23–13,906,65–12,5414,88–26,44mai sigur7,47–14,665,90–13,2813,37–27,95
Ofsaiduri
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,893,72sigur0,67–2,990,80–2,981,46–5,97mai sigur0,37–3,290,51–3,270,87–6,56
Cartonașe galbene
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,873,36sigur0,44–2,540,74–3,001,18–5,54mai sigur0,17–2,810,45–3,290,62–6,09
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
31%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,623,325,95sigur1,19–4,061,77–4,882,95–8,94mai sigur0,80–4,451,34–5,302,14–9,75
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,92 0,95–2,89 0,70–3,14 | 1,16 0,31–2,01 0,08–2,24 | 3,08 1,25–4,90 0,78–5,38 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,35 3,49–7,21 3,00–7,70 | 4,06 2,32–5,81 1,85–6,27 | 9,41 5,81–13,02 4,85–13,98 | 60% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 16,47 12,55–20,40 11,46–21,49 | 10,61 7,05–14,18 6,09–15,14 | 27,09 19,60–34,57 17,55–36,62 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,15 8,21–14,10 7,38–14,93 | 6,91 4,23–9,59 3,49–10,33 | 18,07 12,44–23,69 10,88–25,26 | 81% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,77 2,89–6,65 2,34–7,19 | 2,92 1,27–4,57 0,77–5,06 | 7,69 4,15–11,22 3,12–12,26 | 69% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,34 4,13–8,55 3,55–9,13 | 3,70 1,70–5,70 1,17–6,24 | 10,05 5,83–14,26 4,72–15,37 | 75% 16% |
| Posesie % | 57,46 50,67–64,25 49,00–65,92 | 42,95 36,16–49,73 34,49–51,41 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 538 470–605 452–623 | 396 330–463 312–480 | 934 800–1067 764–1103 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,75 72,72–80,78 71,42–82,07 | 72,41 68,09–76,74 66,78–78,05 | — | 69% 27% |
| Faulturi | 11,07 8,23–13,90 7,47–14,66 | 9,59 6,65–12,54 5,90–13,28 | 20,66 14,88–26,44 13,37–27,95 | 58% 33% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,83 0,67–2,99 0,37–3,29 | 1,89 0,80–2,98 0,51–3,27 | 3,72 1,46–5,97 0,87–6,56 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,49 0,44–2,54 0,17–2,81 | 1,87 0,74–3,00 0,45–3,29 | 3,36 1,18–5,54 0,62–6,09 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,19–4,06 0,80–4,45 | 3,32 1,77–4,88 1,34–5,30 | 5,95 2,95–8,94 2,14–9,75 | 31% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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