Bundesliga·Etapa 17·
Bundesliga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
23%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,383,23sigur0,89–2,820,52–2,231,41–5,06mai sigur0,64–3,070,30–2,460,93–5,54
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,394,269,65sigur3,53–7,252,52–6,006,05–13,26mai sigur3,04–7,742,05–6,475,09–14,21
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,2911,5827,88sigur12,37–20,228,02–15,1520,39–35,36mai sigur11,28–21,317,06–16,1118,34–37,42
Șuturi din careu
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,728,7519,48sigur7,78–13,676,07–11,4313,85–25,10mai sigur6,95–14,495,34–12,1712,29–26,67
Șuturi blocate
53%
13%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,633,908,52sigur2,74–6,512,24–5,554,99–12,06mai sigur2,20–7,051,75–6,043,95–13,09
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,184,2410,41sigur3,96–8,392,24–6,246,20–14,62mai sigur3,39–8,961,70–6,775,09–15,73
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,8840,81sigur54,09–67,6734,03–47,60mai sigur52,42–69,3432,36–49,27
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție564363928sigur497–632297–430794–1061mai sigur479–650279–447758–1097
Precizie pase %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,8768,99sigur66,84–74,9064,66–73,31mai sigur65,55–76,1963,35–74,62
Faulturi
26%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1512,6622,80sigur7,31–12,989,71–15,6017,02–28,59mai sigur6,55–13,748,96–16,3515,52–30,09
Ofsaiduri
44%
23%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,513,29sigur0,61–2,930,42–2,611,03–5,54mai sigur0,31–3,230,13–2,890,44–6,13
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,953,54sigur0,54–2,640,82–3,081,37–5,72mai sigur0,27–2,910,53–3,370,81–6,28
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
26%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,593,696,29sigur1,16–4,032,14–5,253,29–9,28mai sigur0,77–4,421,71–5,682,48–10,09
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,85 0,89–2,82 0,64–3,07 | 1,38 0,52–2,23 0,30–2,46 | 3,23 1,41–5,06 0,93–5,54 | 49% 23% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,39 3,53–7,25 3,04–7,74 | 4,26 2,52–6,00 2,05–6,47 | 9,65 6,05–13,26 5,09–14,21 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 16,29 12,37–20,22 11,28–21,31 | 11,58 8,02–15,15 7,06–16,11 | 27,88 20,39–35,36 18,34–37,42 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,72 7,78–13,67 6,95–14,49 | 8,75 6,07–11,43 5,34–12,17 | 19,48 13,85–25,10 12,29–26,67 | 63% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,63 2,74–6,51 2,20–7,05 | 3,90 2,24–5,55 1,75–6,04 | 8,52 4,99–12,06 3,95–13,09 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Cornere | 6,18 3,96–8,39 3,39–8,96 | 4,24 2,24–6,24 1,70–6,77 | 10,41 6,20–14,62 5,09–15,73 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 60,88 54,09–67,67 52,42–69,34 | 40,81 34,03–47,60 32,36–49,27 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 564 497–632 479–650 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 928 794–1061 758–1097 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,87 66,84–74,90 65,55–76,19 | 68,99 64,66–73,31 63,35–74,62 | — | 57% 38% |
| Faulturi | 10,15 7,31–12,98 6,55–13,74 | 12,66 9,71–15,60 8,96–16,35 | 22,80 17,02–28,59 15,52–30,09 | 26% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,77 0,61–2,93 0,31–3,23 | 1,51 0,42–2,61 0,13–2,89 | 3,29 1,03–5,54 0,44–6,13 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,59 0,54–2,64 0,27–2,91 | 1,95 0,82–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,54 1,37–5,72 0,81–6,28 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,59 1,16–4,03 0,77–4,42 | 3,69 2,14–5,25 1,71–5,68 | 6,29 3,29–9,28 2,48–10,09 | 26% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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