Bundesliga·Etapa 17·
Bundesliga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,783,64sigur0,89–2,830,92–2,631,81–5,46mai sigur0,64–3,080,69–2,861,33–5,94
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,745,2010,93sigur3,87–7,603,45–6,947,33–14,54mai sigur3,38–8,092,99–7,406,37–15,49
Total șuturi
68%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,6213,5830,20sigur12,70–20,5510,02–17,1422,72–37,69mai sigur11,61–21,649,06–18,1020,66–39,74
Șuturi din careu
60%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,499,8521,34sigur8,55–14,437,17–12,5315,72–26,96mai sigur7,72–15,266,43–13,2714,15–28,53
Șuturi blocate
49%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,534,118,64sigur2,65–6,412,46–5,775,11–12,18mai sigur2,10–6,951,97–6,264,07–13,21
Cornere
49%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,555,1610,71sigur3,34–7,773,16–7,166,50–14,93mai sigur2,77–8,342,63–7,695,39–16,03
Posesie %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,5252,64sigur41,73–55,3145,85–59,42mai sigur40,06–56,9844,18–61,09
Pase
38%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție427463890sigur360–495396–529756–1024mai sigur342–513379–547721–1059
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,8974,06sigur66,86–74,9269,73–78,38mai sigur65,57–76,2268,42–79,69
Faulturi
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5310,6024,13sigur10,69–16,367,66–13,5518,35–29,91mai sigur9,93–17,126,91–14,3016,84–31,42
Ofsaiduri
70%
15%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,961,384,34sigur1,80–4,120,28–2,472,08–6,59mai sigur1,50–4,420,00–2,761,50–7,18
Cartonașe galbene
41%
21%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,011,953,96sigur0,96–3,060,82–3,081,78–6,14mai sigur0,69–3,320,53–3,371,22–6,69
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
37%
15%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,443,837,27sigur2,00–4,872,28–5,394,28–10,26mai sigur1,61–5,261,85–5,813,47–11,08
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,86 0,89–2,83 0,64–3,08 | 1,78 0,92–2,63 0,69–2,86 | 3,64 1,81–5,46 1,33–5,94 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,74 3,87–7,60 3,38–8,09 | 5,20 3,45–6,94 2,99–7,40 | 10,93 7,33–14,54 6,37–15,49 | 50% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 16,62 12,70–20,55 11,61–21,64 | 13,58 10,02–17,14 9,06–18,10 | 30,20 22,72–37,69 20,66–39,74 | 68% 26% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,49 8,55–14,43 7,72–15,26 | 9,85 7,17–12,53 6,43–13,27 | 21,34 15,72–26,96 14,15–28,53 | 60% 32% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,53 2,65–6,41 2,10–6,95 | 4,11 2,46–5,77 1,97–6,26 | 8,64 5,11–12,18 4,07–13,21 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,55 3,34–7,77 2,77–8,34 | 5,16 3,16–7,16 2,63–7,69 | 10,71 6,50–14,93 5,39–16,03 | 49% 39% |
| Posesie % | 48,52 41,73–55,31 40,06–56,98 | 52,64 45,85–59,42 44,18–61,09 | — | 38% 57% |
| Pase | 427 360–495 342–513 | 463 396–529 379–547 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 38% 61% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,89 66,86–74,92 65,57–76,22 | 74,06 69,73–78,38 68,42–79,69 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 13,53 10,69–16,36 9,93–17,12 | 10,60 7,66–13,55 6,91–14,30 | 24,13 18,35–29,91 16,84–31,42 | 69% 24% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,96 1,80–4,12 1,50–4,42 | 1,38 0,28–2,47 0,00–2,76 | 4,34 2,08–6,59 1,50–7,18 | 70% 15% 15% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,01 0,96–3,06 0,69–3,32 | 1,95 0,82–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,96 1,78–6,14 1,22–6,69 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,44 2,00–4,87 1,61–5,26 | 3,83 2,28–5,39 1,85–5,81 | 7,27 4,28–10,26 3,47–11,08 | 37% 15% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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