Bundesliga·Etapa 17·
Bundesliga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
21%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,001,153,15sigur1,03–2,970,30–2,011,33–4,97mai sigur0,78–3,220,07–2,230,85–5,45
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,434,279,70sigur3,57–7,292,53–6,026,10–13,31mai sigur3,08–7,782,07–6,485,14–14,26
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,9912,0127,99sigur12,06–19,918,44–15,5720,51–35,48mai sigur10,97–21,007,48–16,5318,46–37,53
Șuturi din careu
70%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,697,9218,61sigur7,75–13,635,24–10,6012,99–24,24mai sigur6,92–14,464,50–11,3411,42–25,80
Șuturi blocate
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,943,078,01sigur3,06–6,821,41–4,724,47–11,54mai sigur2,51–7,370,92–5,213,44–12,58
Cornere
72%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,544,1810,71sigur4,32–8,752,18–6,186,50–14,93mai sigur3,75–9,331,64–6,715,39–16,03
Posesie %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,8343,48sigur48,04–61,6236,69–50,26mai sigur46,37–63,2935,02–51,93
Pase
80%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție493390882sigur425–560323–456749–1016mai sigur407–578306–474713–1052
Precizie pase %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,9667,69sigur65,93–73,9963,36–72,01mai sigur64,64–75,2862,05–73,32
Faulturi
44%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2612,4524,70sigur9,42–15,099,50–15,3918,92–30,48mai sigur8,66–15,858,75–16,1417,41–31,99
Ofsaiduri
49%
22%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,453,39sigur0,78–3,100,36–2,551,14–5,65mai sigur0,48–3,400,07–2,830,55–6,24
Cartonașe galbene
29%
19%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,792,394,18sigur0,75–2,841,26–3,522,00–6,36mai sigur0,48–3,110,97–3,811,45–6,92
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
31%
15%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,923,696,61sigur1,48–4,352,13–5,253,62–9,60mai sigur1,09–4,741,71–5,672,80–10,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,00 1,03–2,97 0,78–3,22 | 1,15 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,23 | 3,15 1,33–4,97 0,85–5,45 | 57% 21% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,43 3,57–7,29 3,08–7,78 | 4,27 2,53–6,02 2,07–6,48 | 9,70 6,10–13,31 5,14–14,26 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 15,99 12,06–19,91 10,97–21,00 | 12,01 8,44–15,57 7,48–16,53 | 27,99 20,51–35,48 18,46–37,53 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,69 7,75–13,63 6,92–14,46 | 7,92 5,24–10,60 4,50–11,34 | 18,61 12,99–24,24 11,42–25,80 | 70% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,94 3,06–6,82 2,51–7,37 | 3,07 1,41–4,72 0,92–5,21 | 8,01 4,47–11,54 3,44–12,58 | 69% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,54 4,32–8,75 3,75–9,33 | 4,18 2,18–6,18 1,64–6,71 | 10,71 6,50–14,93 5,39–16,03 | 72% 19% |
| Posesie % | 54,83 48,04–61,62 46,37–63,29 | 43,48 36,69–50,26 35,02–51,93 | — | 73% 23% |
| Pase | 493 425–560 407–578 | 390 323–456 306–474 | 882 749–1016 713–1052 | 80% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,96 65,93–73,99 64,64–75,28 | 67,69 63,36–72,01 62,05–73,32 | — | 59% 36% |
| Faulturi | 12,26 9,42–15,09 8,66–15,85 | 12,45 9,50–15,39 8,75–16,14 | 24,70 18,92–30,48 17,41–31,99 | 44% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,40 | 1,45 0,36–2,55 0,07–2,83 | 3,39 1,14–5,65 0,55–6,24 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,79 0,75–2,84 0,48–3,11 | 2,39 1,26–3,52 0,97–3,81 | 4,18 2,00–6,36 1,45–6,92 | 29% 19% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,92 1,48–4,35 1,09–4,74 | 3,69 2,13–5,25 1,71–5,67 | 6,61 3,62–9,60 2,80–10,41 | 31% 15% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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