Bundesliga·Etapa 17·
Bundesliga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
24%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,673,13sigur0,49–2,430,82–2,521,31–4,96mai sigur0,24–2,680,59–2,750,83–5,44
Șuturi pe poartă
36%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,105,8010,89sigur3,23–6,964,06–7,547,29–14,50mai sigur2,74–7,453,59–8,016,33–15,46
Total șuturi
49%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,2715,9432,20sigur12,34–20,1912,38–19,5024,72–39,69mai sigur11,25–21,2811,42–20,4622,67–41,74
Șuturi din careu
35%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,1510,3519,50sigur6,21–12,097,67–13,0313,88–25,13mai sigur5,38–12,926,93–13,7712,31–26,69
Șuturi blocate
50%
14%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,403,878,26sigur2,51–6,282,21–5,524,73–11,80mai sigur1,97–6,821,72–6,013,69–12,83
Cornere
39%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,145,5110,65sigur2,93–7,353,51–7,516,44–14,87mai sigur2,35–7,932,98–8,055,33–15,97
Posesie %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,3048,52sigur44,51–58,0941,74–55,31mai sigur42,84–59,7640,07–56,98
Pase
56%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție466447913sigur399–534381–514780–1047mai sigur381–552363–531744–1083
Precizie pase %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,0672,06sigur64,03–72,0967,74–76,39mai sigur62,74–73,3966,43–77,70
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9911,7922,78sigur8,15–13,838,85–14,7417,00–28,56mai sigur7,40–14,588,10–15,4915,49–30,07
Ofsaiduri
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,923,54sigur0,46–2,780,83–3,011,28–5,79mai sigur0,15–3,080,54–3,300,69–6,38
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,923,48sigur0,51–2,610,79–3,051,30–5,66mai sigur0,24–2,870,50–3,340,74–6,21
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
51%
15%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,773,226,99sigur2,33–5,211,66–4,774,00–9,98mai sigur1,95–5,591,24–5,203,18–10,79
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,46 0,49–2,43 0,24–2,68 | 1,67 0,82–2,52 0,59–2,75 | 3,13 1,31–4,96 0,83–5,44 | 34% 24% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,10 3,23–6,96 2,74–7,45 | 5,80 4,06–7,54 3,59–8,01 | 10,89 7,29–14,50 6,33–15,46 | 36% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 16,27 12,34–20,19 11,25–21,28 | 15,94 12,38–19,50 11,42–20,46 | 32,20 24,72–39,69 22,67–41,74 | 49% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,15 6,21–12,09 5,38–12,92 | 10,35 7,67–13,03 6,93–13,77 | 19,50 13,88–25,13 12,31–26,69 | 35% 56% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,40 2,51–6,28 1,97–6,82 | 3,87 2,21–5,52 1,72–6,01 | 8,26 4,73–11,80 3,69–12,83 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,14 2,93–7,35 2,35–7,93 | 5,51 3,51–7,51 2,98–8,05 | 10,65 6,44–14,87 5,33–15,97 | 39% 48% |
| Posesie % | 51,30 44,51–58,09 42,84–59,76 | 48,52 41,74–55,31 40,07–56,98 | — | 54% 41% |
| Pase | 466 399–534 381–552 | 447 381–514 363–531 | 913 780–1047 744–1083 | 56% 43% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,06 64,03–72,09 62,74–73,39 | 72,06 67,74–76,39 66,43–77,70 | — | 28% 67% |
| Faulturi | 10,99 8,15–13,83 7,40–14,58 | 11,79 8,85–14,74 8,10–15,49 | 22,78 17,00–28,56 15,49–30,07 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,15–3,08 | 1,92 0,83–3,01 0,54–3,30 | 3,54 1,28–5,79 0,69–6,38 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,56 0,51–2,61 0,24–2,87 | 1,92 0,79–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 3,48 1,30–5,66 0,74–6,21 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,77 2,33–5,21 1,95–5,59 | 3,22 1,66–4,77 1,24–5,20 | 6,99 4,00–9,98 3,18–10,79 | 51% 15% 34% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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