Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
22%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,263,24sigur1,01–2,940,41–2,121,42–5,06mai sigur0,76–3,200,18–2,350,94–5,54
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,984,5110,50sigur4,12–7,852,77–6,256,89–14,10mai sigur3,63–8,342,30–6,725,93–15,06
Total șuturi
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,7711,7030,47sigur14,84–22,698,14–15,2722,99–37,96mai sigur13,75–23,797,18–16,2320,93–40,01
Șuturi din careu
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,427,4719,89sigur9,48–15,364,79–10,1514,26–25,51mai sigur8,65–16,194,05–10,8912,70–27,08
Șuturi blocate
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,333,308,62sigur3,44–7,211,64–4,955,09–12,16mai sigur2,90–7,751,15–5,444,05–13,19
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,074,3110,38sigur3,86–8,282,31–6,316,17–14,59mai sigur3,28–8,861,78–6,845,06–15,70
Posesie %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,4944,69sigur48,70–62,2837,91–51,48mai sigur47,03–63,9536,24–53,15
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție482404886sigur415–549337–470752–1019mai sigur397–567320–488716–1055
Precizie pase %
67%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,4868,52sigur68,45–76,5164,20–72,85mai sigur67,16–77,8162,89–74,16
Faulturi
61%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8911,0023,89sigur10,05–15,738,05–13,9418,11–29,67mai sigur9,29–16,487,31–14,6916,60–31,17
Ofsaiduri
45%
23%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,423,16sigur0,58–2,900,33–2,520,91–5,42mai sigur0,28–3,200,04–2,800,32–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,712,003,70sigur0,66–2,760,87–3,131,53–5,88mai sigur0,39–3,020,58–3,420,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
30%
15%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,973,836,80sigur1,54–4,412,27–5,393,81–9,79mai sigur1,15–4,801,85–5,813,00–10,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,98 1,01–2,94 0,76–3,20 | 1,26 0,41–2,12 0,18–2,35 | 3,24 1,42–5,06 0,94–5,54 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,98 4,12–7,85 3,63–8,34 | 4,51 2,77–6,25 2,30–6,72 | 10,50 6,89–14,10 5,93–15,06 | 62% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 18,77 14,84–22,69 13,75–23,79 | 11,70 8,14–15,27 7,18–16,23 | 30,47 22,99–37,96 20,93–40,01 | 88% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,42 9,48–15,36 8,65–16,19 | 7,47 4,79–10,15 4,05–10,89 | 19,89 14,26–25,51 12,70–27,08 | 84% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,33 3,44–7,21 2,90–7,75 | 3,30 1,64–4,95 1,15–5,44 | 8,62 5,09–12,16 4,05–13,19 | 70% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,07 3,86–8,28 3,28–8,86 | 4,31 2,31–6,31 1,78–6,84 | 10,38 6,17–14,59 5,06–15,70 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 55,49 48,70–62,28 47,03–63,95 | 44,69 37,91–51,48 36,24–53,15 | — | 72% 24% |
| Pase | 482 415–549 397–567 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,48 68,45–76,51 67,16–77,81 | 68,52 64,20–72,85 62,89–74,16 | — | 67% 28% |
| Faulturi | 12,89 10,05–15,73 9,29–16,48 | 11,00 8,05–13,94 7,31–14,69 | 23,89 18,11–29,67 16,60–31,17 | 61% 31% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,42 0,33–2,52 0,04–2,80 | 3,16 0,91–5,42 0,32–6,01 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,71 0,66–2,76 0,39–3,02 | 2,00 0,87–3,13 0,58–3,42 | 3,70 1,53–5,88 0,97–6,44 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,97 1,54–4,41 1,15–4,80 | 3,83 2,27–5,39 1,85–5,81 | 6,80 3,81–9,79 3,00–10,61 | 30% 15% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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