Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
19%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,321,153,47sigur1,35–3,290,29–2,001,64–5,29mai sigur1,10–3,540,06–2,231,16–5,77
Șuturi pe poartă
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,863,8710,73sigur5,00–8,722,12–5,617,12–14,33mai sigur4,51–9,211,66–6,086,17–15,29
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,9110,2731,18sigur16,98–24,836,71–13,8323,69–38,67mai sigur15,89–25,925,75–14,7921,64–40,72
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,616,7720,38sigur10,67–16,554,09–9,4514,75–26,00mai sigur9,84–17,383,35–10,1913,19–27,57
Șuturi blocate
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,732,338,06sigur3,85–7,610,67–3,984,52–11,59mai sigur3,30–8,150,18–4,473,48–12,63
Cornere
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,573,3310,90sigur5,36–9,781,33–5,336,69–15,11mai sigur4,78–10,360,80–5,865,58–16,22
Posesie %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,3141,93sigur51,52–65,1035,14–48,71mai sigur49,85–66,7733,47–50,38
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție566410975sigur498–633343–476841–1109mai sigur480–651326–494806–1144
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție79,0572,82sigur75,02–83,0868,50–77,15mai sigur73,72–84,3767,19–78,46
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4411,6723,11sigur8,60–14,288,73–14,6117,33–28,89mai sigur7,85–15,037,98–15,3615,82–30,40
Ofsaiduri
61%
19%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,451,363,81sigur1,29–3,610,27–2,451,55–6,06mai sigur0,99–3,910,00–2,740,96–6,65
Cartonașe galbene
30%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,883,33sigur0,41–2,500,75–3,001,15–5,51mai sigur0,14–2,770,46–3,300,59–6,07
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
17%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,454,396,84sigur1,02–3,892,83–5,943,85–9,83mai sigur0,63–4,282,41–6,373,04–10,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,32 1,35–3,29 1,10–3,54 | 1,15 0,29–2,00 0,06–2,23 | 3,47 1,64–5,29 1,16–5,77 | 64% 19% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,86 5,00–8,72 4,51–9,21 | 3,87 2,12–5,61 1,66–6,08 | 10,73 7,12–14,33 6,17–15,29 | 78% 14% |
| Total șuturi | 20,91 16,98–24,83 15,89–25,92 | 10,27 6,71–13,83 5,75–14,79 | 31,18 23,69–38,67 21,64–40,72 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,61 10,67–16,55 9,84–17,38 | 6,77 4,09–9,45 3,35–10,19 | 20,38 14,75–26,00 13,19–27,57 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,73 3,85–7,61 3,30–8,15 | 2,33 0,67–3,98 0,18–4,47 | 8,06 4,52–11,59 3,48–12,63 | 85% |
| Cornere | 7,57 5,36–9,78 4,78–10,36 | 3,33 1,33–5,33 0,80–5,86 | 10,90 6,69–15,11 5,58–16,22 | 88% |
| Posesie % | 58,31 51,52–65,10 49,85–66,77 | 41,93 35,14–48,71 33,47–50,38 | — | 82% 15% |
| Pase | 566 498–633 480–651 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 975 841–1109 806–1144 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 79,05 75,02–83,08 73,72–84,37 | 72,82 68,50–77,15 67,19–78,46 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 11,44 8,60–14,28 7,85–15,03 | 11,67 8,73–14,61 7,98–15,36 | 23,11 17,33–28,89 15,82–30,40 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,45 1,29–3,61 0,99–3,91 | 1,36 0,27–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 3,81 1,55–6,06 0,96–6,65 | 61% 19% 20% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,45 0,41–2,50 0,14–2,77 | 1,88 0,75–3,00 0,46–3,30 | 3,33 1,15–5,51 0,59–6,07 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,45 1,02–3,89 0,63–4,28 | 4,39 2,83–5,94 2,41–6,37 | 6,84 3,85–9,83 3,04–10,64 | 17% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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