Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
63%
19%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,231,093,31sigur1,26–3,200,23–1,941,49–5,14mai sigur1,01–3,450,00–2,171,01–5,62
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,964,1210,08sigur4,10–7,822,38–5,876,48–13,69mai sigur3,61–8,311,91–6,335,52–14,64
Total șuturi
81%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,8911,7528,64sigur12,96–20,818,19–15,3221,16–36,13mai sigur11,87–21,917,23–16,2819,10–38,18
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,867,8419,70sigur8,92–14,805,16–10,5214,08–25,33mai sigur8,09–15,634,42–11,2612,51–26,89
Șuturi blocate
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,012,727,72sigur3,13–6,891,06–4,374,19–11,26mai sigur2,58–7,430,57–4,863,15–12,30
Cornere
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,034,1411,17sigur4,82–9,252,14–6,146,96–15,38mai sigur4,24–9,821,61–6,675,85–16,49
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,4340,70sigur53,64–67,2233,92–47,49mai sigur51,97–68,8932,25–49,16
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție524361884sigur457–591294–427751–1018mai sigur438–609277–445715–1054
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,6466,98sigur71,62–79,6762,65–71,30mai sigur70,32–80,9761,34–72,61
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8513,2324,08sigur8,01–13,6910,28–16,1718,29–29,86mai sigur7,26–14,449,53–16,9216,79–31,36
Ofsaiduri
46%
22%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,523,38sigur0,69–3,020,43–2,621,13–5,63mai sigur0,39–3,320,14–2,910,54–6,22
Cartonașe galbene
23%
20%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,422,273,68sigur0,37–2,471,14–3,401,51–5,86mai sigur0,10–2,730,85–3,690,95–6,42
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
28%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,853,876,73sigur1,42–4,292,32–5,433,73–9,72mai sigur1,03–4,681,89–5,852,92–10,53
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,23 1,26–3,20 1,01–3,45 | 1,09 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,17 | 3,31 1,49–5,14 1,01–5,62 | 63% 19% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,96 4,10–7,82 3,61–8,31 | 4,12 2,38–5,87 1,91–6,33 | 10,08 6,48–13,69 5,52–14,64 | 66% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 16,89 12,96–20,81 11,87–21,91 | 11,75 8,19–15,32 7,23–16,28 | 28,64 21,16–36,13 19,10–38,18 | 81% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,86 8,92–14,80 8,09–15,63 | 7,84 5,16–10,52 4,42–11,26 | 19,70 14,08–25,33 12,51–26,89 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,01 3,13–6,89 2,58–7,43 | 2,72 1,06–4,37 0,57–4,86 | 7,72 4,19–11,26 3,15–12,30 | 74% 15% |
| Cornere | 7,03 4,82–9,25 4,24–9,82 | 4,14 2,14–6,14 1,61–6,67 | 11,17 6,96–15,38 5,85–16,49 | 76% 15% |
| Posesie % | 60,43 53,64–67,22 51,97–68,89 | 40,70 33,92–47,49 32,25–49,16 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 524 457–591 438–609 | 361 294–427 277–445 | 884 751–1018 715–1054 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,64 71,62–79,67 70,32–80,97 | 66,98 62,65–71,30 61,34–72,61 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 10,85 8,01–13,69 7,26–14,44 | 13,23 10,28–16,17 9,53–16,92 | 24,08 18,29–29,86 16,79–31,36 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,69–3,02 0,39–3,32 | 1,52 0,43–2,62 0,14–2,91 | 3,38 1,13–5,63 0,54–6,22 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,42 0,37–2,47 0,10–2,73 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 3,68 1,51–5,86 0,95–6,42 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,85 1,42–4,29 1,03–4,68 | 3,87 2,32–5,43 1,89–5,85 | 6,73 3,73–9,72 2,92–10,53 | 28% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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