Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
24%
20%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,392,203,59sigur0,42–2,361,34–3,051,76–5,41mai sigur0,17–2,611,11–3,281,28–5,89
Șuturi pe poartă
22%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,546,6511,19sigur2,68–6,404,91–8,407,59–14,80mai sigur2,19–6,894,45–8,866,63–15,75
Total șuturi
29%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8716,4030,27sigur9,95–17,8012,84–19,9622,78–37,76mai sigur8,85–18,8911,88–20,9220,73–39,81
Șuturi din careu
29%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,1111,0820,20sigur6,17–12,068,40–13,7614,58–25,82mai sigur5,34–12,897,67–14,5013,01–27,39
Șuturi blocate
27%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,494,758,24sigur1,61–5,373,09–6,404,70–11,77mai sigur1,06–5,922,60–6,893,66–12,81
Cornere
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,835,7610,60sigur2,62–7,053,76–7,766,38–14,81mai sigur2,05–7,623,23–8,305,28–15,92
Posesie %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,9858,09sigur35,19–48,7751,31–64,88mai sigur33,52–50,4449,64–66,55
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție390537927sigur323–458471–603794–1061mai sigur305–476453–621758–1097
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,2077,29sigur63,17–71,2272,96–81,61mai sigur61,87–72,5271,65–82,92
Faulturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5010,3723,87sigur10,66–16,347,43–13,3218,09–29,66mai sigur9,91–17,096,68–14,0716,59–31,16
Ofsaiduri
70%
16%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,851,294,14sigur1,69–4,010,20–2,381,88–6,39mai sigur1,39–4,310,00–2,671,29–6,98
Cartonașe galbene
43%
21%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,913,97sigur1,01–3,110,78–3,041,79–6,15mai sigur0,74–3,380,49–3,331,23–6,70
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
61%
14%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,252,997,23sigur2,81–5,681,43–4,544,24–10,22mai sigur2,42–6,071,01–4,973,43–11,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,39 0,42–2,36 0,17–2,61 | 2,20 1,34–3,05 1,11–3,28 | 3,59 1,76–5,41 1,28–5,89 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,54 2,68–6,40 2,19–6,89 | 6,65 4,91–8,40 4,45–8,86 | 11,19 7,59–14,80 6,63–15,75 | 22% 69% |
| Total șuturi | 13,87 9,95–17,80 8,85–18,89 | 16,40 12,84–19,96 11,88–20,92 | 30,27 22,78–37,76 20,73–39,81 | 29% 64% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,11 6,17–12,06 5,34–12,89 | 11,08 8,40–13,76 7,67–14,50 | 20,20 14,58–25,82 13,01–27,39 | 29% 63% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,49 1,61–5,37 1,06–5,92 | 4,75 3,09–6,40 2,60–6,89 | 8,24 4,70–11,77 3,66–12,81 | 27% 60% |
| Cornere | 4,83 2,62–7,05 2,05–7,62 | 5,76 3,76–7,76 3,23–8,30 | 10,60 6,38–14,81 5,28–15,92 | 33% 55% |
| Posesie % | 41,98 35,19–48,77 33,52–50,44 | 58,09 51,31–64,88 49,64–66,55 | — | 16% 81% |
| Pase | 390 323–458 305–476 | 537 471–603 453–621 | 927 794–1061 758–1097 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,20 63,17–71,22 61,87–72,52 | 77,29 72,96–81,61 71,65–82,92 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 13,50 10,66–16,34 9,91–17,09 | 10,37 7,43–13,32 6,68–14,07 | 23,87 18,09–29,66 16,59–31,16 | 70% 23% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,85 1,69–4,01 1,39–4,31 | 1,29 0,20–2,38 0,00–2,67 | 4,14 1,88–6,39 1,29–6,98 | 70% 16% 15% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,06 1,01–3,11 0,74–3,38 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,97 1,79–6,15 1,23–6,70 | 43% 21% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 4,25 2,81–5,68 2,42–6,07 | 2,99 1,43–4,54 1,01–4,97 | 7,23 4,24–10,22 3,43–11,04 | 61% 14% 25% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.