Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,442,043,48sigur0,47–2,411,18–2,891,66–5,30mai sigur0,22–2,660,96–3,121,18–5,78
Șuturi pe poartă
25%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,265,8910,15sigur2,40–6,134,15–7,636,55–13,76mai sigur1,91–6,623,68–8,105,59–14,72
Total șuturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2414,4027,65sigur9,32–17,1710,84–17,9720,16–35,14mai sigur8,23–18,269,88–18,9318,11–37,19
Șuturi din careu
33%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,7210,0718,79sigur5,78–11,667,39–12,7513,17–24,42mai sigur4,95–12,496,65–13,4911,60–25,98
Șuturi blocate
41%
15%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,813,937,74sigur1,93–5,692,28–5,584,20–11,27mai sigur1,38–6,231,79–6,083,17–12,31
Cornere
39%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,624,989,61sigur2,41–6,842,98–6,985,39–13,82mai sigur1,84–7,412,45–7,524,29–14,93
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,4049,36sigur44,61–58,1942,58–56,15mai sigur42,94–59,8640,91–57,82
Pase
59%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție487460947sigur420–554394–527814–1081mai sigur402–573376–544778–1117
Precizie pase %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,4974,41sigur68,46–76,5270,09–78,74mai sigur67,17–77,8168,78–80,04
Faulturi
67%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6510,0222,67sigur9,81–15,487,08–12,9716,89–28,45mai sigur9,05–16,246,33–13,7115,38–29,96
Ofsaiduri
46%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,423,19sigur0,61–2,930,33–2,510,93–5,44mai sigur0,31–3,230,04–2,800,35–6,03
Cartonașe galbene
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,593,19sigur0,55–2,650,46–2,711,01–5,36mai sigur0,29–2,920,16–3,010,45–5,92
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,070,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,260,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,390,00–0,78
Parade portar
55%
15%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,702,886,58sigur2,26–5,141,32–4,443,59–9,57mai sigur1,88–5,520,90–4,862,78–10,38
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,44 0,47–2,41 0,22–2,66 | 2,04 1,18–2,89 0,96–3,12 | 3,48 1,66–5,30 1,18–5,78 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,26 2,40–6,13 1,91–6,62 | 5,89 4,15–7,63 3,68–8,10 | 10,15 6,55–13,76 5,59–14,72 | 25% 64% |
| Total șuturi | 13,24 9,32–17,17 8,23–18,26 | 14,40 10,84–17,97 9,88–18,93 | 27,65 20,16–35,14 18,11–37,19 | 38% 55% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,72 5,78–11,66 4,95–12,49 | 10,07 7,39–12,75 6,65–13,49 | 18,79 13,17–24,42 11,60–25,98 | 33% 58% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,81 1,93–5,69 1,38–6,23 | 3,93 2,28–5,58 1,79–6,08 | 7,74 4,20–11,27 3,17–12,31 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Cornere | 4,62 2,41–6,84 1,84–7,41 | 4,98 2,98–6,98 2,45–7,52 | 9,61 5,39–13,82 4,29–14,93 | 39% 48% |
| Posesie % | 51,40 44,61–58,19 42,94–59,86 | 49,36 42,58–56,15 40,91–57,82 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 487 420–554 402–573 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 947 814–1081 778–1117 | 59% 41% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,49 68,46–76,52 67,17–77,81 | 74,41 70,09–78,74 68,78–80,04 | — | 38% 57% |
| Faulturi | 12,65 9,81–15,48 9,05–16,24 | 10,02 7,08–12,97 6,33–13,71 | 22,67 16,89–28,45 15,38–29,96 | 67% 26% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,77 0,61–2,93 0,31–3,23 | 1,42 0,33–2,51 0,04–2,80 | 3,19 0,93–5,44 0,35–6,03 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,55–2,65 0,29–2,92 | 1,59 0,46–2,71 0,16–3,01 | 3,19 1,01–5,36 0,45–5,92 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,70 2,26–5,14 1,88–5,52 | 2,88 1,32–4,44 0,90–4,86 | 6,58 3,59–9,57 2,78–10,38 | 55% 15% 30% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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