Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
24%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,472,96sigur0,52–2,450,62–2,331,14–4,78mai sigur0,27–2,710,39–2,560,66–5,26
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,094,779,86sigur3,23–6,963,03–6,516,26–13,47mai sigur2,74–7,452,56–6,985,30–14,42
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8613,4429,30sigur11,93–19,789,88–17,0121,81–36,79mai sigur10,84–20,878,92–17,9719,76–38,84
Șuturi din careu
53%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,099,2619,35sigur7,15–13,036,58–11,9413,72–24,97mai sigur6,32–13,865,84–12,6812,16–26,54
Șuturi blocate
56%
13%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,563,618,16sigur2,67–6,441,95–5,264,63–11,70mai sigur2,13–6,981,46–5,753,59–12,73
Cornere
49%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,565,1710,73sigur3,35–7,773,17–7,176,51–14,94mai sigur2,77–8,352,63–7,705,41–16,05
Posesie %
43%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,2051,30sigur42,41–55,9944,52–58,09mai sigur40,74–57,6642,85–59,76
Pase
47%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție444454898sigur377–511388–520764–1032mai sigur359–529370–538729–1067
Precizie pase %
26%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,8068,21sigur59,77–67,8363,89–72,53mai sigur58,47–69,1262,58–73,84
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4911,7922,29sigur7,66–13,338,85–14,7416,50–28,07mai sigur6,90–14,098,10–15,4915,00–29,57
Ofsaiduri
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,932,104,03sigur0,77–3,091,00–3,191,77–6,28mai sigur0,47–3,390,72–3,481,18–6,87
Cartonașe galbene
27%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,983,37sigur0,34–2,440,85–3,111,19–5,55mai sigur0,07–2,700,56–3,400,63–6,11
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
36%
16%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,113,566,67sigur1,68–4,552,00–5,113,68–9,67mai sigur1,29–4,941,58–5,542,87–10,48
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,49 0,52–2,45 0,27–2,71 | 1,47 0,62–2,33 0,39–2,56 | 2,96 1,14–4,78 0,66–5,26 | 38% 24% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,09 3,23–6,96 2,74–7,45 | 4,77 3,03–6,51 2,56–6,98 | 9,86 6,26–13,47 5,30–14,42 | 48% 40% |
| Total șuturi | 15,86 11,93–19,78 10,84–20,87 | 13,44 9,88–17,01 8,92–17,97 | 29,30 21,81–36,79 19,76–38,84 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,09 7,15–13,03 6,32–13,86 | 9,26 6,58–11,94 5,84–12,68 | 19,35 13,72–24,97 12,16–26,54 | 53% 38% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,56 2,67–6,44 2,13–6,98 | 3,61 1,95–5,26 1,46–5,75 | 8,16 4,63–11,70 3,59–12,73 | 56% 13% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,56 3,35–7,77 2,77–8,35 | 5,17 3,17–7,17 2,63–7,70 | 10,73 6,51–14,94 5,41–16,05 | 49% 39% |
| Posesie % | 49,20 42,41–55,99 40,74–57,66 | 51,30 44,52–58,09 42,85–59,76 | — | 43% 53% |
| Pase | 444 377–511 359–529 | 454 388–520 370–538 | 898 764–1032 729–1067 | 47% 53% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,80 59,77–67,83 58,47–69,12 | 68,21 63,89–72,53 62,58–73,84 | — | 26% 69% |
| Faulturi | 10,49 7,66–13,33 6,90–14,09 | 11,79 8,85–14,74 8,10–15,49 | 22,29 16,50–28,07 15,00–29,57 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,93 0,77–3,09 0,47–3,39 | 2,10 1,00–3,19 0,72–3,48 | 4,03 1,77–6,28 1,18–6,87 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,39 0,34–2,44 0,07–2,70 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 3,37 1,19–5,55 0,63–6,11 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,11 1,68–4,55 1,29–4,94 | 3,56 2,00–5,11 1,58–5,54 | 6,67 3,68–9,67 2,87–10,48 | 36% 16% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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