Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
23%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,211,772,98sigur0,24–2,180,92–2,631,16–4,81mai sigur0,00–2,430,69–2,860,68–5,29
Șuturi pe poartă
30%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,345,519,85sigur2,48–6,213,76–7,256,24–13,45mai sigur1,99–6,703,30–7,715,29–14,41
Total șuturi
27%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8515,6728,53sigur8,93–16,7812,11–19,2421,04–36,01mai sigur7,84–17,8711,15–20,1918,99–38,07
Șuturi din careu
17%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,3710,8818,24sigur4,42–10,318,20–13,5612,62–23,87mai sigur3,60–11,147,46–14,3011,05–25,43
Șuturi blocate
37%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,014,478,48sigur2,13–5,892,81–6,124,94–12,01mai sigur1,58–6,432,32–6,613,90–13,05
Cornere
38%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,065,5210,58sigur2,85–7,283,52–7,526,37–14,79mai sigur2,28–7,852,98–8,055,26–15,90
Posesie %
58%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,7548,44sigur45,96–59,5441,65–55,22mai sigur44,29–61,2139,98–56,89
Pase
63%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție462421883sigur394–529355–488749–1017mai sigur376–547337–505714–1052
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,7072,02sigur60,67–68,7367,69–76,34mai sigur59,38–70,0266,38–77,65
Faulturi
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3512,7723,12sigur7,52–13,199,82–15,7117,34–28,90mai sigur6,76–13,959,07–16,4615,83–30,41
Ofsaiduri
32%
21%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,632,013,64sigur0,47–2,790,92–3,101,38–5,89mai sigur0,17–3,090,63–3,390,79–6,48
Cartonașe galbene
30%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,943,45sigur0,47–2,570,81–3,061,27–5,63mai sigur0,20–2,830,52–3,360,72–6,19
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
51%
16%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,402,856,25sigur1,97–4,841,29–4,403,26–9,24mai sigur1,58–5,230,87–4,832,45–10,06
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,21 0,24–2,18 0,00–2,43 | 1,77 0,92–2,63 0,69–2,86 | 2,98 1,16–4,81 0,68–5,29 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,34 2,48–6,21 1,99–6,70 | 5,51 3,76–7,25 3,30–7,71 | 9,85 6,24–13,45 5,29–14,41 | 30% 58% |
| Total șuturi | 12,85 8,93–16,78 7,84–17,87 | 15,67 12,11–19,24 11,15–20,19 | 28,53 21,04–36,01 18,99–38,07 | 27% 67% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,37 4,42–10,31 3,60–11,14 | 10,88 8,20–13,56 7,46–14,30 | 18,24 12,62–23,87 11,05–25,43 | 17% 76% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,01 2,13–5,89 1,58–6,43 | 4,47 2,81–6,12 2,32–6,61 | 8,48 4,94–12,01 3,90–13,05 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Cornere | 5,06 2,85–7,28 2,28–7,85 | 5,52 3,52–7,52 2,98–8,05 | 10,58 6,37–14,79 5,26–15,90 | 38% 49% |
| Posesie % | 52,75 45,96–59,54 44,29–61,21 | 48,44 41,65–55,22 39,98–56,89 | — | 58% 38% |
| Pase | 462 394–529 376–547 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 883 749–1017 714–1052 | 63% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,70 60,67–68,73 59,38–70,02 | 72,02 67,69–76,34 66,38–77,65 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 10,35 7,52–13,19 6,76–13,95 | 12,77 9,82–15,71 9,07–16,46 | 23,12 17,34–28,90 15,83–30,41 | 27% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,63 0,47–2,79 0,17–3,09 | 2,01 0,92–3,10 0,63–3,39 | 3,64 1,38–5,89 0,79–6,48 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,52 0,47–2,57 0,20–2,83 | 1,94 0,81–3,06 0,52–3,36 | 3,45 1,27–5,63 0,72–6,19 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,40 1,97–4,84 1,58–5,23 | 2,85 1,29–4,40 0,87–4,83 | 6,25 3,26–9,24 2,45–10,06 | 51% 16% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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