Bundesliga·Etapa 19·
Bundesliga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
21%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,453,50sigur1,08–3,020,60–2,301,68–5,32mai sigur0,83–3,270,37–2,531,20–5,80
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,234,7110,95sigur4,37–8,102,97–6,457,34–14,55mai sigur3,88–8,592,50–6,926,39–15,51
Total șuturi
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,8912,5230,41sigur13,96–21,818,96–16,0922,92–37,90mai sigur12,87–22,908,00–17,0420,87–39,95
Șuturi din careu
73%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,528,3119,84sigur8,58–14,475,63–10,9914,21–25,46mai sigur7,75–15,304,89–11,7312,65–27,03
Șuturi blocate
72%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,183,028,20sigur3,30–7,061,36–4,674,66–11,73mai sigur2,76–7,610,87–5,163,63–12,77
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,124,2010,32sigur3,91–8,332,20–6,206,11–14,53mai sigur3,33–8,911,66–6,735,00–15,64
Posesie %
76%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,7543,87sigur49,96–63,5437,08–50,65mai sigur48,29–65,2135,41–52,32
Pase
85%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5644401003sigur496–631373–506870–1137mai sigur478–649356–524834–1173
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,4473,11sigur70,42–78,4768,79–77,44mai sigur69,12–79,7767,48–78,75
Faulturi
24%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,8112,5722,38sigur6,97–12,649,62–15,5116,59–28,16mai sigur6,21–13,408,88–16,2615,09–29,66
Ofsaiduri
14%
15%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,322,984,30sigur0,16–2,481,89–4,072,05–6,55mai sigur0,00–2,781,60–4,361,46–7,14
Cartonașe galbene
26%
22%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,953,29sigur0,29–2,390,82–3,081,12–5,47mai sigur0,03–2,660,53–3,370,56–6,03
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
27%
14%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,084,227,30sigur1,64–4,522,66–5,774,30–10,29mai sigur1,26–4,902,24–6,203,49–11,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,05 1,08–3,02 0,83–3,27 | 1,45 0,60–2,30 0,37–2,53 | 3,50 1,68–5,32 1,20–5,80 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,23 4,37–8,10 3,88–8,59 | 4,71 2,97–6,45 2,50–6,92 | 10,95 7,34–14,55 6,39–15,51 | 62% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 17,89 13,96–21,81 12,87–22,90 | 12,52 8,96–16,09 8,00–17,04 | 30,41 22,92–37,90 20,87–39,95 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,52 8,58–14,47 7,75–15,30 | 8,31 5,63–10,99 4,89–11,73 | 19,84 14,21–25,46 12,65–27,03 | 73% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,18 3,30–7,06 2,76–7,61 | 3,02 1,36–4,67 0,87–5,16 | 8,20 4,66–11,73 3,63–12,77 | 72% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,12 3,91–8,33 3,33–8,91 | 4,20 2,20–6,20 1,66–6,73 | 10,32 6,11–14,53 5,00–15,64 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 56,75 49,96–63,54 48,29–65,21 | 43,87 37,08–50,65 35,41–52,32 | — | 76% 21% |
| Pase | 564 496–631 478–649 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 1003 870–1137 834–1173 | 85% 15% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,44 70,42–78,47 69,12–79,77 | 73,11 68,79–77,44 67,48–78,75 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 9,81 6,97–12,64 6,21–13,40 | 12,57 9,62–15,51 8,88–16,26 | 22,38 16,59–28,16 15,09–29,66 | 24% 68% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,32 0,16–2,48 0,00–2,78 | 2,98 1,89–4,07 1,60–4,36 | 4,30 2,05–6,55 1,46–7,14 | 14% 15% 71% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,34 0,29–2,39 0,03–2,66 | 1,95 0,82–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,29 1,12–5,47 0,56–6,03 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,08 1,64–4,52 1,26–4,90 | 4,22 2,66–5,77 2,24–6,20 | 7,30 4,30–10,29 3,49–11,10 | 27% 14% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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