Bundesliga·Etapa 19·
Bundesliga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,340,913,25sigur1,38–3,310,05–1,761,43–5,08mai sigur1,13–3,560,00–1,990,95–5,56
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,823,4110,23sigur4,96–8,681,67–5,156,62–13,83mai sigur4,47–9,171,20–5,625,67–14,79
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,8310,8530,67sigur15,90–23,757,28–14,4123,19–38,16mai sigur14,81–24,846,32–15,3721,14–40,21
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,196,7519,93sigur10,24–16,134,07–9,4314,31–25,56mai sigur9,41–16,963,33–10,1712,74–27,12
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,522,798,31sigur3,64–7,401,14–4,444,78–11,85mai sigur3,10–7,950,64–4,933,74–12,88
Cornere
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,473,8210,29sigur4,26–8,681,82–5,826,08–14,50mai sigur3,68–9,261,29–6,364,97–15,61
Posesie %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,0644,72sigur48,27–61,8537,94–51,51mai sigur46,60–63,5236,27–53,18
Pase
82%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție510400909sigur442–577333–466775–1043mai sigur424–595316–484740–1078
Precizie pase %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,5172,70sigur71,48–79,5468,38–77,03mai sigur70,19–80,8367,07–78,34
Faulturi
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3812,7723,15sigur7,54–13,229,83–15,7217,37–28,93mai sigur6,78–13,979,08–16,4715,86–30,44
Ofsaiduri
52%
22%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,373,35sigur0,82–3,140,27–2,461,10–5,61mai sigur0,52–3,450,00–2,750,51–6,19
Cartonașe galbene
25%
21%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,382,073,45sigur0,33–2,430,94–3,201,27–5,62mai sigur0,06–2,690,65–3,490,71–6,18
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
16%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,384,436,81sigur0,94–3,812,87–5,983,81–9,80mai sigur0,55–4,202,45–6,413,00–10,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,34 1,38–3,31 1,13–3,56 | 0,91 0,05–1,76 0,00–1,99 | 3,25 1,43–5,08 0,95–5,56 | 69% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,82 4,96–8,68 4,47–9,17 | 3,41 1,67–5,15 1,20–5,62 | 10,23 6,62–13,83 5,67–14,79 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 19,83 15,90–23,75 14,81–24,84 | 10,85 7,28–14,41 6,32–15,37 | 30,67 23,19–38,16 21,14–40,21 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,19 10,24–16,13 9,41–16,96 | 6,75 4,07–9,43 3,33–10,17 | 19,93 14,31–25,56 12,74–27,12 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,52 3,64–7,40 3,10–7,95 | 2,79 1,14–4,44 0,64–4,93 | 8,31 4,78–11,85 3,74–12,88 | 78% |
| Cornere | 6,47 4,26–8,68 3,68–9,26 | 3,82 1,82–5,82 1,29–6,36 | 10,29 6,08–14,50 4,97–15,61 | 75% 16% |
| Posesie % | 55,06 48,27–61,85 46,60–63,52 | 44,72 37,94–51,51 36,27–53,18 | — | 71% 25% |
| Pase | 510 442–577 424–595 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 82% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,51 71,48–79,54 70,19–80,83 | 72,70 68,38–77,03 67,07–78,34 | — | 62% 33% |
| Faulturi | 10,38 7,54–13,22 6,78–13,97 | 12,77 9,83–15,72 9,08–16,47 | 23,15 17,37–28,93 15,86–30,44 | 27% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,45 | 1,37 0,27–2,46 0,00–2,75 | 3,35 1,10–5,61 0,51–6,19 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,38 0,33–2,43 0,06–2,69 | 2,07 0,94–3,20 0,65–3,49 | 3,45 1,27–5,62 0,71–6,18 | 25% 21% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,38 0,94–3,81 0,55–4,20 | 4,43 2,87–5,98 2,45–6,41 | 6,81 3,81–9,80 3,00–10,61 | 16% 72% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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