Bundesliga·Etapa 19·
Bundesliga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
24%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,572,93sigur0,40–2,340,71–2,421,11–4,76mai sigur0,15–2,590,48–2,650,63–5,24
Șuturi pe poartă
38%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,835,2610,09sigur2,97–6,693,51–7,006,48–13,69mai sigur2,48–7,183,05–7,475,53–14,65
Total șuturi
44%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0014,3428,35sigur10,08–17,9310,78–17,9120,86–35,83mai sigur8,99–19,029,82–18,8618,81–37,89
Șuturi din careu
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,359,8619,21sigur6,40–12,297,18–12,5413,58–24,83mai sigur5,57–13,126,44–13,2812,02–26,40
Șuturi blocate
37%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,074,528,58sigur2,18–5,952,87–6,175,05–12,12mai sigur1,64–6,492,37–6,664,01–13,16
Cornere
40%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,985,3110,28sigur2,76–7,193,31–7,316,07–14,49mai sigur2,19–7,762,77–7,844,96–15,60
Posesie %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,0754,89sigur38,28–51,8648,10–61,67mai sigur36,61–53,5346,43–63,35
Pase
30%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție398459856sigur330–465392–525723–990mai sigur312–483375–543687–1026
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,7676,44sigur61,73–69,7972,12–80,77mai sigur60,44–71,0870,81–82,08
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4112,3623,77sigur8,57–14,249,42–15,3117,99–29,55mai sigur7,81–15,008,67–16,0616,48–31,06
Ofsaiduri
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,602,083,68sigur0,44–2,760,99–3,171,43–5,94mai sigur0,14–3,060,70–3,460,84–6,53
Cartonașe galbene
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,843,32sigur0,43–2,520,72–2,971,14–5,50mai sigur0,16–2,790,42–3,260,58–6,05
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
45%
16%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,273,096,35sigur1,83–4,701,53–4,643,36–9,35mai sigur1,44–5,091,11–5,072,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,40–2,34 0,15–2,59 | 1,57 0,71–2,42 0,48–2,65 | 2,93 1,11–4,76 0,63–5,24 | 33% 24% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,83 2,97–6,69 2,48–7,18 | 5,26 3,51–7,00 3,05–7,47 | 10,09 6,48–13,69 5,53–14,65 | 38% 49% |
| Total șuturi | 14,00 10,08–17,93 8,99–19,02 | 14,34 10,78–17,91 9,82–18,86 | 28,35 20,86–35,83 18,81–37,89 | 44% 49% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,35 6,40–12,29 5,57–13,12 | 9,86 7,18–12,54 6,44–13,28 | 19,21 13,58–24,83 12,02–26,40 | 41% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,07 2,18–5,95 1,64–6,49 | 4,52 2,87–6,17 2,37–6,66 | 8,58 5,05–12,12 4,01–13,16 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Cornere | 4,98 2,76–7,19 2,19–7,76 | 5,31 3,31–7,31 2,77–7,84 | 10,28 6,07–14,49 4,96–15,60 | 40% 48% |
| Posesie % | 45,07 38,28–51,86 36,61–53,53 | 54,89 48,10–61,67 46,43–63,35 | — | 26% 70% |
| Pase | 398 330–465 312–483 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 856 723–990 687–1026 | 30% 69% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,76 61,73–69,79 60,44–71,08 | 76,44 72,12–80,77 70,81–82,08 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 11,41 8,57–14,24 7,81–15,00 | 12,36 9,42–15,31 8,67–16,06 | 23,77 17,99–29,55 16,48–31,06 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,14–3,06 | 2,08 0,99–3,17 0,70–3,46 | 3,68 1,43–5,94 0,84–6,53 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,47 0,43–2,52 0,16–2,79 | 1,84 0,72–2,97 0,42–3,26 | 3,32 1,14–5,50 0,58–6,05 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,27 1,83–4,70 1,44–5,09 | 3,09 1,53–4,64 1,11–5,07 | 6,35 3,36–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 45% 16% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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