Bundesliga·Etapa 19·
Bundesliga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
22%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,850,892,74sigur0,88–2,820,04–1,740,91–4,56mai sigur0,63–3,070,00–1,970,43–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,463,108,56sigur3,60–7,331,36–4,844,96–12,17mai sigur3,11–7,820,89–5,314,00–13,12
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,499,3525,84sigur12,56–20,415,79–12,9118,35–33,32mai sigur11,47–21,504,83–13,8716,30–35,38
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,705,8617,56sigur8,76–14,643,18–8,5511,94–23,19mai sigur7,93–15,472,45–9,2810,37–24,75
Șuturi blocate
69%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,522,697,21sigur2,63–6,401,04–4,353,67–10,74mai sigur2,09–6,940,55–4,842,64–11,78
Cornere
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,203,769,96sigur3,99–8,411,76–5,765,75–14,17mai sigur3,41–8,991,22–6,294,64–15,28
Posesie %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,8245,88sigur48,03–61,6139,09–52,66mai sigur46,36–63,2837,42–54,33
Pase
75%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție463381844sigur396–530315–448711–978mai sigur378–549297–465675–1014
Precizie pase %
63%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,2068,14sigur67,17–75,2363,82–72,47mai sigur65,88–76,5262,51–73,77
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2111,0523,26sigur9,37–15,058,11–14,0017,48–29,04mai sigur8,61–15,807,36–14,7515,98–30,55
Ofsaiduri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,513,03sigur0,36–2,680,41–2,600,78–5,28mai sigur0,06–2,990,13–2,890,19–5,87
Cartonașe galbene
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,873,61sigur0,69–2,790,74–3,001,43–5,79mai sigur0,43–3,060,45–3,290,87–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
21%
14%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,223,635,86sigur0,79–3,662,08–5,192,86–8,85mai sigur0,40–4,051,65–5,612,05–9,66
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,85 0,88–2,82 0,63–3,07 | 0,89 0,04–1,74 0,00–1,97 | 2,74 0,91–4,56 0,43–5,04 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,46 3,60–7,33 3,11–7,82 | 3,10 1,36–4,84 0,89–5,31 | 8,56 4,96–12,17 4,00–13,12 | 74% 16% |
| Total șuturi | 16,49 12,56–20,41 11,47–21,50 | 9,35 5,79–12,91 4,83–13,87 | 25,84 18,35–33,32 16,30–35,38 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,70 8,76–14,64 7,93–15,47 | 5,86 3,18–8,55 2,45–9,28 | 17,56 11,94–23,19 10,37–24,75 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,52 2,63–6,40 2,09–6,94 | 2,69 1,04–4,35 0,55–4,84 | 7,21 3,67–10,74 2,64–11,78 | 69% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,20 3,99–8,41 3,41–8,99 | 3,76 1,76–5,76 1,22–6,29 | 9,96 5,75–14,17 4,64–15,28 | 73% 17% |
| Posesie % | 54,82 48,03–61,61 46,36–63,28 | 45,88 39,09–52,66 37,42–54,33 | — | 68% 28% |
| Pase | 463 396–530 378–549 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 844 711–978 675–1014 | 75% 25% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,20 67,17–75,23 65,88–76,52 | 68,14 63,82–72,47 62,51–73,77 | — | 63% 32% |
| Faulturi | 12,21 9,37–15,05 8,61–15,80 | 11,05 8,11–14,00 7,36–14,75 | 23,26 17,48–29,04 15,98–30,55 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,52 0,36–2,68 0,06–2,99 | 1,51 0,41–2,60 0,13–2,89 | 3,03 0,78–5,28 0,19–5,87 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,43–3,06 | 1,87 0,74–3,00 0,45–3,29 | 3,61 1,43–5,79 0,87–6,34 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,22 0,79–3,66 0,40–4,05 | 3,63 2,08–5,19 1,65–5,61 | 5,86 2,86–8,85 2,05–9,66 | 21% 14% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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