Bundesliga·Etapa 19·
Bundesliga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
22%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,362,003,35sigur0,39–2,321,14–2,851,53–5,17mai sigur0,14–2,580,91–3,081,05–5,65
Șuturi pe poartă
26%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,385,9610,35sigur2,52–6,254,22–7,716,74–13,95mai sigur2,03–6,733,75–8,175,79–14,91
Total șuturi
35%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2015,8430,05sigur10,28–18,1312,28–19,4122,56–37,54mai sigur9,19–19,2211,32–20,3720,51–39,59
Șuturi din careu
26%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,8311,1519,98sigur5,89–11,778,47–13,8314,36–25,60mai sigur5,06–12,607,73–14,5712,79–27,17
Șuturi blocate
39%
13%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,304,638,94sigur2,42–6,192,98–6,285,40–12,47mai sigur1,88–6,732,49–6,784,36–13,51
Cornere
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,885,6210,50sigur2,67–7,093,62–7,626,29–14,72mai sigur2,09–7,673,09–8,165,18–15,82
Posesie %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,9857,96sigur36,19–49,7751,17–64,74mai sigur34,52–51,4449,50–66,41
Pase
14%
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție407539946sigur340–474472–605812–1079mai sigur322–493455–623776–1115
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,4376,58sigur59,40–67,4672,25–80,90mai sigur58,11–68,7570,95–82,21
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2510,5321,78sigur8,42–14,097,58–13,4716,00–27,56mai sigur7,66–14,856,83–14,2214,49–29,07
Ofsaiduri
36%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,633,15sigur0,36–2,680,54–2,720,90–5,41mai sigur0,06–2,980,25–3,010,31–5,99
Cartonașe galbene
41%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,523,19sigur0,62–2,720,39–2,651,01–5,37mai sigur0,35–2,980,10–2,940,45–5,92
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,070,16sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,260,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,390,00–0,79
Parade portar
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,792,996,78sigur2,36–5,231,43–4,543,78–9,77mai sigur1,97–5,611,00–4,972,97–10,58
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,36 0,39–2,32 0,14–2,58 | 2,00 1,14–2,85 0,91–3,08 | 3,35 1,53–5,17 1,05–5,65 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,38 2,52–6,25 2,03–6,73 | 5,96 4,22–7,71 3,75–8,17 | 10,35 6,74–13,95 5,79–14,91 | 26% 63% |
| Total șuturi | 14,20 10,28–18,13 9,19–19,22 | 15,84 12,28–19,41 11,32–20,37 | 30,05 22,56–37,54 20,51–39,59 | 35% 58% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,83 5,89–11,77 5,06–12,60 | 11,15 8,47–13,83 7,73–14,57 | 19,98 14,36–25,60 12,79–27,17 | 26% 66% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,30 2,42–6,19 1,88–6,73 | 4,63 2,98–6,28 2,49–6,78 | 8,94 5,40–12,47 4,36–13,51 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,88 2,67–7,09 2,09–7,67 | 5,62 3,62–7,62 3,09–8,16 | 10,50 6,29–14,72 5,18–15,82 | 35% 53% |
| Posesie % | 42,98 36,19–49,77 34,52–51,44 | 57,96 51,17–64,74 49,50–66,41 | — | 17% 80% |
| Pase | 407 340–474 322–493 | 539 472–605 455–623 | 946 812–1079 776–1115 | 14% 86% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,43 59,40–67,46 58,11–68,75 | 76,58 72,25–80,90 70,95–82,21 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 11,25 8,42–14,09 7,66–14,85 | 10,53 7,58–13,47 6,83–14,22 | 21,78 16,00–27,56 14,49–29,07 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,52 0,36–2,68 0,06–2,98 | 1,63 0,54–2,72 0,25–3,01 | 3,15 0,90–5,41 0,31–5,99 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,72 0,35–2,98 | 1,52 0,39–2,65 0,10–2,94 | 3,19 1,01–5,37 0,45–5,92 | 41% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,79 2,36–5,23 1,97–5,61 | 2,99 1,43–4,54 1,00–4,97 | 6,78 3,78–9,77 2,97–10,58 | 54% 15% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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