Bundesliga·Etapa 20·
Bundesliga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
20%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,231,333,56sigur1,26–3,200,48–2,191,74–5,38mai sigur1,01–3,450,25–2,411,26–5,86
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,114,5910,70sigur4,25–7,972,85–6,337,09–14,30mai sigur3,76–8,462,38–6,806,14–15,26
Total șuturi
72%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,8413,2130,05sigur12,91–20,769,65–16,7722,56–37,53mai sigur11,82–21,858,69–17,7320,51–39,58
Șuturi din careu
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,169,3721,53sigur9,22–15,106,69–12,0515,91–27,15mai sigur8,39–15,935,96–12,7914,34–28,72
Șuturi blocate
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,434,078,51sigur2,55–6,322,42–5,734,97–12,04mai sigur2,01–6,861,93–6,223,94–13,08
Cornere
69%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,394,2710,66sigur4,18–8,602,27–6,276,45–14,87mai sigur3,60–9,181,74–6,805,34–15,98
Posesie %
78%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,6443,45sigur50,85–64,4336,67–50,24mai sigur49,18–66,1035,00–51,91
Pase
85%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție526399925sigur459–593333–465791–1058mai sigur440–611315–483755–1094
Precizie pase %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,5970,48sigur66,56–74,6266,16–74,80mai sigur65,27–75,9164,85–76,11
Faulturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6813,8824,56sigur7,84–13,5210,94–16,8318,78–30,34mai sigur7,08–14,2710,19–17,5717,27–31,85
Ofsaiduri
39%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,613,26sigur0,50–2,820,51–2,701,01–5,52mai sigur0,20–3,120,22–2,990,42–6,10
Cartonașe galbene
26%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,552,303,85sigur0,50–2,601,17–3,421,67–6,03mai sigur0,24–2,870,88–3,721,11–6,58
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
32%
15%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,053,756,80sigur1,61–4,482,19–5,313,81–9,79mai sigur1,22–4,871,77–5,732,99–10,60
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,23 1,26–3,20 1,01–3,45 | 1,33 0,48–2,19 0,25–2,41 | 3,56 1,74–5,38 1,26–5,86 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,11 4,25–7,97 3,76–8,46 | 4,59 2,85–6,33 2,38–6,80 | 10,70 7,09–14,30 6,14–15,26 | 62% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 16,84 12,91–20,76 11,82–21,85 | 13,21 9,65–16,77 8,69–17,73 | 30,05 22,56–37,53 20,51–39,58 | 72% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,16 9,22–15,10 8,39–15,93 | 9,37 6,69–12,05 5,96–12,79 | 21,53 15,91–27,15 14,34–28,72 | 69% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,43 2,55–6,32 2,01–6,86 | 4,07 2,42–5,73 1,93–6,22 | 8,51 4,97–12,04 3,94–13,08 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Cornere | 6,39 4,18–8,60 3,60–9,18 | 4,27 2,27–6,27 1,74–6,80 | 10,66 6,45–14,87 5,34–15,98 | 69% 21% |
| Posesie % | 57,64 50,85–64,43 49,18–66,10 | 43,45 36,67–50,24 35,00–51,91 | — | 78% 18% |
| Pase | 526 459–593 440–611 | 399 333–465 315–483 | 925 791–1058 755–1094 | 85% 14% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,59 66,56–74,62 65,27–75,91 | 70,48 66,16–74,80 64,85–76,11 | — | 48% 47% |
| Faulturi | 10,68 7,84–13,52 7,08–14,27 | 13,88 10,94–16,83 10,19–17,57 | 24,56 18,78–30,34 17,27–31,85 | 23% 71% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,12 | 1,61 0,51–2,70 0,22–2,99 | 3,26 1,01–5,52 0,42–6,10 | 39% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,55 0,50–2,60 0,24–2,87 | 2,30 1,17–3,42 0,88–3,72 | 3,85 1,67–6,03 1,11–6,58 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,05 1,61–4,48 1,22–4,87 | 3,75 2,19–5,31 1,77–5,73 | 6,80 3,81–9,79 2,99–10,60 | 32% 15% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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