Bundesliga·Etapa 20·
Bundesliga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,573,12sigur0,58–2,520,71–2,421,30–4,94mai sigur0,33–2,770,48–2,650,82–5,42
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,884,709,58sigur3,02–6,742,95–6,445,97–13,18mai sigur2,53–7,232,49–6,915,02–14,14
Total șuturi
58%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,1212,6026,72sigur10,20–18,049,03–16,1619,23–34,20mai sigur9,10–19,148,08–17,1217,18–36,26
Șuturi din careu
47%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,389,1618,54sigur6,44–12,326,48–11,8412,92–24,17mai sigur5,61–13,155,74–12,5811,35–25,73
Șuturi blocate
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,053,917,96sigur2,17–5,932,26–5,564,43–11,50mai sigur1,62–6,471,77–6,063,39–12,53
Cornere
52%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,384,6810,06sigur3,17–7,592,68–6,685,85–14,28mai sigur2,59–8,172,15–7,224,74–15,38
Posesie %
73%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,5145,35sigur49,72–63,3038,56–52,13mai sigur48,05–64,9736,89–53,80
Pase
83%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție481369850sigur414–548302–435716–983mai sigur396–567285–453680–1019
Precizie pase %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,3571,21sigur67,32–75,3866,88–75,53mai sigur66,03–76,6865,57–76,84
Faulturi
29%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7813,0323,81sigur7,95–13,6210,08–15,9718,03–29,59mai sigur7,19–14,389,33–16,7216,53–31,10
Ofsaiduri
42%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,523,21sigur0,52–2,840,43–2,620,95–5,46mai sigur0,22–3,140,14–2,910,36–6,05
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,993,67sigur0,63–2,730,86–3,121,49–5,85mai sigur0,37–3,000,57–3,410,93–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,103,286,39sigur1,67–4,541,73–4,843,40–9,38mai sigur1,28–4,931,30–5,272,58–10,19
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,55 0,58–2,52 0,33–2,77 | 1,57 0,71–2,42 0,48–2,65 | 3,12 1,30–4,94 0,82–5,42 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,88 3,02–6,74 2,53–7,23 | 4,70 2,95–6,44 2,49–6,91 | 9,58 5,97–13,18 5,02–14,14 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 14,12 10,20–18,04 9,10–19,14 | 12,60 9,03–16,16 8,08–17,12 | 26,72 19,23–34,20 17,18–36,26 | 58% 35% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,38 6,44–12,32 5,61–13,15 | 9,16 6,48–11,84 5,74–12,58 | 18,54 12,92–24,17 11,35–25,73 | 47% 43% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,05 2,17–5,93 1,62–6,47 | 3,91 2,26–5,56 1,77–6,06 | 7,96 4,43–11,50 3,39–12,53 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,38 3,17–7,59 2,59–8,17 | 4,68 2,68–6,68 2,15–7,22 | 10,06 5,85–14,28 4,74–15,38 | 52% 35% |
| Posesie % | 56,51 49,72–63,30 48,05–64,97 | 45,35 38,56–52,13 36,89–53,80 | — | 73% 24% |
| Pase | 481 414–548 396–567 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 850 716–983 680–1019 | 83% 17% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,35 67,32–75,38 66,03–76,68 | 71,21 66,88–75,53 65,57–76,84 | — | 48% 47% |
| Faulturi | 10,78 7,95–13,62 7,19–14,38 | 13,03 10,08–15,97 9,33–16,72 | 23,81 18,03–29,59 16,53–31,10 | 29% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,68 0,52–2,84 0,22–3,14 | 1,52 0,43–2,62 0,14–2,91 | 3,21 0,95–5,46 0,36–6,05 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,68 0,63–2,73 0,37–3,00 | 1,99 0,86–3,12 0,57–3,41 | 3,67 1,49–5,85 0,93–6,41 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,10 1,67–4,54 1,28–4,93 | 3,28 1,73–4,84 1,30–5,27 | 6,39 3,40–9,38 2,58–10,19 | 39% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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