Bundesliga·Etapa 20·
Bundesliga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
20%
20%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,162,133,29sigur0,19–2,131,27–2,981,46–5,11mai sigur0,00–2,381,04–3,210,98–5,59
Șuturi pe poartă
21%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,146,1610,31sigur2,28–6,014,42–7,916,70–13,91mai sigur1,79–6,503,95–8,375,75–14,87
Total șuturi
18%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1216,5328,64sigur8,19–16,0412,96–20,0921,16–36,13mai sigur7,10–17,1312,00–21,0519,11–38,18
Șuturi din careu
17%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,9811,7019,67sigur5,03–10,929,01–14,3814,05–25,29mai sigur4,20–11,758,28–15,1112,48–26,86
Șuturi blocate
19%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,974,927,89sigur1,09–4,853,27–6,584,36–11,43mai sigur0,55–5,402,78–7,073,32–12,47
Cornere
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,236,0810,32sigur2,02–6,454,08–8,086,10–14,53mai sigur1,44–7,023,55–8,625,00–15,64
Posesie %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,6961,11sigur32,90–46,4854,32–67,89mai sigur31,23–48,1552,65–69,56
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție356557913sigur289–423490–623779–1046mai sigur271–441473–641743–1082
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,1677,71sigur60,13–68,1973,38–82,03mai sigur58,84–69,4872,07–83,34
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3911,3623,75sigur9,55–15,228,42–14,3117,97–29,53mai sigur8,79–15,987,67–15,0516,46–31,04
Ofsaiduri
68%
16%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,861,374,23sigur1,70–4,020,28–2,461,98–6,49mai sigur1,40–4,330,00–2,751,39–7,08
Cartonașe galbene
39%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,993,96sigur0,92–3,020,86–3,121,78–6,13mai sigur0,65–3,280,57–3,411,22–6,69
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
61%
14%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,082,856,93sigur2,64–5,521,29–4,413,94–9,92mai sigur2,26–5,900,87–4,833,13–10,73
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,16 0,19–2,13 0,00–2,38 | 2,13 1,27–2,98 1,04–3,21 | 3,29 1,46–5,11 0,98–5,59 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,14 2,28–6,01 1,79–6,50 | 6,16 4,42–7,91 3,95–8,37 | 10,31 6,70–13,91 5,75–14,87 | 21% 68% |
| Total șuturi | 12,12 8,19–16,04 7,10–17,13 | 16,53 12,96–20,09 12,00–21,05 | 28,64 21,16–36,13 19,11–38,18 | 18% 77% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,98 5,03–10,92 4,20–11,75 | 11,70 9,01–14,38 8,28–15,11 | 19,67 14,05–25,29 12,48–26,86 | 17% 77% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,97 1,09–4,85 0,55–5,40 | 4,92 3,27–6,58 2,78–7,07 | 7,89 4,36–11,43 3,32–12,47 | 19% 70% |
| Cornere | 4,23 2,02–6,45 1,44–7,02 | 6,08 4,08–8,08 3,55–8,62 | 10,32 6,10–14,53 5,00–15,64 | 23% 66% |
| Posesie % | 39,69 32,90–46,48 31,23–48,15 | 61,11 54,32–67,89 52,65–69,56 | — | 89% |
| Pase | 356 289–423 271–441 | 557 490–623 473–641 | 913 779–1046 743–1082 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,16 60,13–68,19 58,84–69,48 | 77,71 73,38–82,03 72,07–83,34 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 12,39 9,55–15,22 8,79–15,98 | 11,36 8,42–14,31 7,67–15,05 | 23,75 17,97–29,53 16,46–31,04 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,86 1,70–4,02 1,40–4,33 | 1,37 0,28–2,46 0,00–2,75 | 4,23 1,98–6,49 1,39–7,08 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,97 0,92–3,02 0,65–3,28 | 1,99 0,86–3,12 0,57–3,41 | 3,96 1,78–6,13 1,22–6,69 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 4,08 2,64–5,52 2,26–5,90 | 2,85 1,29–4,41 0,87–4,83 | 6,93 3,94–9,92 3,13–10,73 | 61% 14% 25% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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