Bundesliga·Etapa 20·
Bundesliga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
23%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,223,05sigur0,86–2,800,36–2,071,23–4,87mai sigur0,61–3,050,13–2,300,75–5,35
Șuturi pe poartă
55%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,214,349,55sigur3,35–7,072,59–6,085,94–13,15mai sigur2,86–7,562,13–6,544,99–14,11
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9912,6127,61sigur11,07–18,929,05–16,1820,12–35,09mai sigur9,98–20,018,09–17,1318,07–37,15
Șuturi din careu
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,488,5819,06sigur7,54–13,435,90–11,2613,44–24,69mai sigur6,71–14,265,16–12,0011,87–26,25
Șuturi blocate
67%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,763,027,78sigur2,88–6,641,36–4,674,24–11,31mai sigur2,33–7,180,87–5,163,20–12,35
Cornere
64%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,324,6710,99sigur4,11–8,532,67–6,676,77–15,20mai sigur3,53–9,112,13–7,205,67–16,31
Posesie %
60%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,9547,68sigur46,16–59,7440,90–54,47mai sigur44,49–61,4139,23–56,14
Pase
67%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție469416885sigur402–537349–482751–1019mai sigur384–555332–500716–1054
Precizie pase %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,7966,80sigur61,76–69,8262,47–71,12mai sigur60,47–71,1161,17–72,43
Faulturi
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,8312,8522,68sigur6,99–12,669,91–15,8016,90–28,46mai sigur6,23–13,429,16–16,5415,39–29,97
Ofsaiduri
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,832,234,06sigur0,67–2,991,14–3,321,81–6,31mai sigur0,37–3,290,85–3,611,22–6,90
Cartonașe galbene
19%
18%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,342,523,86sigur0,29–2,391,39–3,651,68–6,04mai sigur0,03–2,661,10–3,941,13–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,130,18sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,310,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,450,00–0,81
Parade portar
31%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,823,526,33sigur1,38–4,251,96–5,073,34–9,32mai sigur0,99–4,641,54–5,502,53–10,14
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,83 0,86–2,80 0,61–3,05 | 1,22 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,30 | 3,05 1,23–4,87 0,75–5,35 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,21 3,35–7,07 2,86–7,56 | 4,34 2,59–6,08 2,13–6,54 | 9,55 5,94–13,15 4,99–14,11 | 55% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 14,99 11,07–18,92 9,98–20,01 | 12,61 9,05–16,18 8,09–17,13 | 27,61 20,12–35,09 18,07–37,15 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,48 7,54–13,43 6,71–14,26 | 8,58 5,90–11,26 5,16–12,00 | 19,06 13,44–24,69 11,87–26,25 | 63% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,76 2,88–6,64 2,33–7,18 | 3,02 1,36–4,67 0,87–5,16 | 7,78 4,24–11,31 3,20–12,35 | 67% 21% |
| Cornere | 6,32 4,11–8,53 3,53–9,11 | 4,67 2,67–6,67 2,13–7,20 | 10,99 6,77–15,20 5,67–16,31 | 64% 26% |
| Posesie % | 52,95 46,16–59,74 44,49–61,41 | 47,68 40,90–54,47 39,23–56,14 | — | 60% 36% |
| Pase | 469 402–537 384–555 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 67% 33% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,79 61,76–69,82 60,47–71,11 | 66,80 62,47–71,12 61,17–72,43 | — | 42% 53% |
| Faulturi | 9,83 6,99–12,66 6,23–13,42 | 12,85 9,91–15,80 9,16–16,54 | 22,68 16,90–28,46 15,39–29,97 | 23% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,83 0,67–2,99 0,37–3,29 | 2,23 1,14–3,32 0,85–3,61 | 4,06 1,81–6,31 1,22–6,90 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,34 0,29–2,39 0,03–2,66 | 2,52 1,39–3,65 1,10–3,94 | 3,86 1,68–6,04 1,13–6,60 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,82 1,38–4,25 0,99–4,64 | 3,52 1,96–5,07 1,54–5,50 | 6,33 3,34–9,32 2,53–10,14 | 31% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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