Bundesliga·Etapa 20·
Bundesliga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
14%
17%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,072,543,61sigur0,10–2,041,68–3,391,79–5,43mai sigur0,00–2,291,45–3,621,31–5,91
Șuturi pe poartă
15%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,986,8510,83sigur2,12–5,855,11–8,597,23–14,44mai sigur1,63–6,344,64–9,066,27–15,39
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9617,7029,66sigur8,04–15,8814,14–21,2622,17–37,15mai sigur6,94–16,9813,18–22,2220,12–39,20
Șuturi din careu
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,9612,4619,42sigur4,02–9,909,78–15,1413,80–25,05mai sigur3,19–10,739,04–15,8812,23–26,61
Șuturi blocate
24%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,384,878,25sigur1,50–5,263,22–6,534,71–11,79mai sigur0,95–5,802,73–7,023,68–12,82
Cornere
20%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,086,2110,29sigur1,87–6,304,21–8,216,08–14,50mai sigur1,30–6,873,67–8,744,97–15,61
Posesie %
19%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,2056,85sigur36,41–49,9950,06–63,63mai sigur34,74–51,6648,39–65,30
Pase
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție406541947sigur339–474474–607813–1081mai sigur321–492457–625778–1116
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,5876,33sigur61,55–69,6172,00–80,65mai sigur60,25–70,9070,69–81,96
Faulturi
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1611,9422,09sigur7,32–13,008,99–14,8816,31–27,88mai sigur6,56–13,758,24–15,6314,81–29,38
Ofsaiduri
34%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,942,294,23sigur0,78–3,101,20–3,381,98–6,48mai sigur0,48–3,400,91–3,671,39–7,07
Cartonașe galbene
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,703,19sigur0,44–2,540,57–2,821,01–5,37mai sigur0,18–2,810,28–3,120,45–5,92
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
65%
13%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,332,787,11sigur2,89–5,761,22–4,344,12–10,10mai sigur2,50–6,150,80–4,763,30–10,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,07 0,10–2,04 0,00–2,29 | 2,54 1,68–3,39 1,45–3,62 | 3,61 1,79–5,43 1,31–5,91 | 14% 17% 69% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,98 2,12–5,85 1,63–6,34 | 6,85 5,11–8,59 4,64–9,06 | 10,83 7,23–14,44 6,27–15,39 | 15% 76% |
| Total șuturi | 11,96 8,04–15,88 6,94–16,98 | 17,70 14,14–21,26 13,18–22,22 | 29,66 22,17–37,15 20,12–39,20 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,96 4,02–9,90 3,19–10,73 | 12,46 9,78–15,14 9,04–15,88 | 19,42 13,80–25,05 12,23–26,61 | 87% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,38 1,50–5,26 0,95–5,80 | 4,87 3,22–6,53 2,73–7,02 | 8,25 4,71–11,79 3,68–12,82 | 24% 63% |
| Cornere | 4,08 1,87–6,30 1,30–6,87 | 6,21 4,21–8,21 3,67–8,74 | 10,29 6,08–14,50 4,97–15,61 | 20% 69% |
| Posesie % | 43,20 36,41–49,99 34,74–51,66 | 56,85 50,06–63,63 48,39–65,30 | — | 19% 77% |
| Pase | 406 339–474 321–492 | 541 474–607 457–625 | 947 813–1081 778–1116 | 87% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,58 61,55–69,61 60,25–70,90 | 76,33 72,00–80,65 70,69–81,96 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 10,16 7,32–13,00 6,56–13,75 | 11,94 8,99–14,88 8,24–15,63 | 22,09 16,31–27,88 14,81–29,38 | 31% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,40 | 2,29 1,20–3,38 0,91–3,67 | 4,23 1,98–6,48 1,39–7,07 | 34% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,49 0,44–2,54 0,18–2,81 | 1,70 0,57–2,82 0,28–3,12 | 3,19 1,01–5,37 0,45–5,92 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 4,33 2,89–5,76 2,50–6,15 | 2,78 1,22–4,34 0,80–4,76 | 7,11 4,12–10,10 3,30–10,91 | 65% 13% 22% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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