Bundesliga·Etapa 21·
Bundesliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
22%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,273,19sigur0,94–2,880,42–2,131,36–5,01mai sigur0,69–3,130,19–2,360,88–5,49
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,474,259,72sigur3,60–7,332,51–5,996,11–13,32mai sigur3,11–7,822,04–6,465,16–14,28
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,7011,9528,65sigur12,77–20,628,39–15,5121,16–36,14mai sigur11,68–21,717,43–16,4719,11–38,19
Șuturi din careu
76%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,608,0419,64sigur8,66–14,545,36–10,7214,02–25,26mai sigur7,83–15,374,62–11,4612,45–26,83
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,953,098,04sigur3,06–6,831,44–4,744,50–11,57mai sigur2,52–7,370,95–5,243,47–12,61
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,324,5210,85sigur4,11–8,542,52–6,526,64–15,06mai sigur3,54–9,111,99–7,065,53–16,17
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,8748,90sigur44,08–57,6642,12–55,69mai sigur42,41–59,3340,45–57,36
Pase
55%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție482468950sigur415–549401–534816–1083mai sigur397–567384–552780–1119
Precizie pase %
33%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,0374,97sigur68,00–76,0670,65–79,29mai sigur66,71–77,3569,34–80,60
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2710,5621,83sigur8,44–14,117,61–13,5016,05–27,61mai sigur7,68–14,876,86–14,2514,54–29,12
Ofsaiduri
29%
20%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,652,193,84sigur0,49–2,811,10–3,291,59–6,10mai sigur0,19–3,110,81–3,571,00–6,69
Cartonașe galbene
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,983,66sigur0,62–2,720,85–3,111,48–5,83mai sigur0,36–2,990,56–3,400,92–6,39
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
34%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,863,386,25sigur1,43–4,301,83–4,943,25–9,24mai sigur1,04–4,691,40–5,362,44–10,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,91 0,94–2,88 0,69–3,13 | 1,27 0,42–2,13 0,19–2,36 | 3,19 1,36–5,01 0,88–5,49 | 52% 22% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,47 3,60–7,33 3,11–7,82 | 4,25 2,51–5,99 2,04–6,46 | 9,72 6,11–13,32 5,16–14,28 | 59% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 16,70 12,77–20,62 11,68–21,71 | 11,95 8,39–15,51 7,43–16,47 | 28,65 21,16–36,14 19,11–38,19 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,60 8,66–14,54 7,83–15,37 | 8,04 5,36–10,72 4,62–11,46 | 19,64 14,02–25,26 12,45–26,83 | 76% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,95 3,06–6,83 2,52–7,37 | 3,09 1,44–4,74 0,95–5,24 | 8,04 4,50–11,57 3,47–12,61 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,32 4,11–8,54 3,54–9,11 | 4,52 2,52–6,52 1,99–7,06 | 10,85 6,64–15,06 5,53–16,17 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 50,87 44,08–57,66 42,41–59,33 | 48,90 42,12–55,69 40,45–57,36 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 482 415–549 397–567 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 950 816–1083 780–1119 | 55% 45% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,03 68,00–76,06 66,71–77,35 | 74,97 70,65–79,29 69,34–80,60 | — | 33% 62% |
| Faulturi | 11,27 8,44–14,11 7,68–14,87 | 10,56 7,61–13,50 6,86–14,25 | 21,83 16,05–27,61 14,54–29,12 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,65 0,49–2,81 0,19–3,11 | 2,19 1,10–3,29 0,81–3,57 | 3,84 1,59–6,10 1,00–6,69 | 29% 20% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,72 0,36–2,99 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 3,66 1,48–5,83 0,92–6,39 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,86 1,43–4,30 1,04–4,69 | 3,38 1,83–4,94 1,40–5,36 | 6,25 3,25–9,24 2,44–10,05 | 34% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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