Bundesliga·Etapa 21·
Bundesliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
24%
21%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,302,043,34sigur0,33–2,271,19–2,901,52–5,17mai sigur0,08–2,520,96–3,121,04–5,65
Șuturi pe poartă
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,476,3310,80sigur2,60–6,334,59–8,087,20–14,41mai sigur2,11–6,824,13–8,546,24–15,36
Total șuturi
26%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6215,5428,16sigur8,70–16,5511,98–19,1020,68–35,65mai sigur7,61–17,6411,02–20,0618,63–37,70
Șuturi din careu
24%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4411,1019,54sigur5,50–11,388,42–13,7813,92–25,17mai sigur4,67–12,217,68–14,5212,35–26,73
Șuturi blocate
44%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,943,877,81sigur2,06–5,822,22–5,534,28–11,35mai sigur1,51–6,361,73–6,023,24–12,38
Cornere
28%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,475,7910,26sigur2,26–6,683,79–7,796,05–14,47mai sigur1,68–7,263,26–8,324,94–15,58
Posesie %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,3652,39sigur41,57–55,1545,60–59,17mai sigur39,90–56,8243,93–60,84
Pase
34%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție466515981sigur399–534448–581848–1115mai sigur381–552431–599812–1151
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,7578,01sigur68,72–76,7773,68–82,33mai sigur67,42–78,0772,37–83,64
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9512,0523,00sigur8,11–13,799,10–14,9917,22–28,78mai sigur7,36–14,548,36–15,7415,71–30,29
Ofsaiduri
14%
14%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,503,254,75sigur0,34–2,662,16–4,342,49–7,00mai sigur0,04–2,961,87–4,631,90–7,59
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,973,73sigur0,71–2,810,84–3,101,55–5,91mai sigur0,44–3,070,55–3,391,00–6,47
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
49%
16%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,583,116,69sigur2,14–5,021,55–4,673,70–9,68mai sigur1,76–5,401,13–5,092,89–10,49
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,30 0,33–2,27 0,08–2,52 | 2,04 1,19–2,90 0,96–3,12 | 3,34 1,52–5,17 1,04–5,65 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,47 2,60–6,33 2,11–6,82 | 6,33 4,59–8,08 4,13–8,54 | 10,80 7,20–14,41 6,24–15,36 | 23% 66% |
| Total șuturi | 12,62 8,70–16,55 7,61–17,64 | 15,54 11,98–19,10 11,02–20,06 | 28,16 20,68–35,65 18,63–37,70 | 26% 68% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,44 5,50–11,38 4,67–12,21 | 11,10 8,42–13,78 7,68–14,52 | 19,54 13,92–25,17 12,35–26,73 | 24% 69% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,94 2,06–5,82 1,51–6,36 | 3,87 2,22–5,53 1,73–6,02 | 7,81 4,28–11,35 3,24–12,38 | 44% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 4,47 2,26–6,68 1,68–7,26 | 5,79 3,79–7,79 3,26–8,32 | 10,26 6,05–14,47 4,94–15,58 | 28% 60% |
| Posesie % | 48,36 41,57–55,15 39,90–56,82 | 52,39 45,60–59,17 43,93–60,84 | — | 38% 57% |
| Pase | 466 399–534 381–552 | 515 448–581 431–599 | 981 848–1115 812–1151 | 34% 66% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,75 68,72–76,77 67,42–78,07 | 78,01 73,68–82,33 72,37–83,64 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 10,95 8,11–13,79 7,36–14,54 | 12,05 9,10–14,99 8,36–15,74 | 23,00 17,22–28,78 15,71–30,29 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,50 0,34–2,66 0,04–2,96 | 3,25 2,16–4,34 1,87–4,63 | 4,75 2,49–7,00 1,90–7,59 | 14% 14% 72% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,76 0,71–2,81 0,44–3,07 | 1,97 0,84–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 3,73 1,55–5,91 1,00–6,47 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,58 2,14–5,02 1,76–5,40 | 3,11 1,55–4,67 1,13–5,09 | 6,69 3,70–9,68 2,89–10,49 | 49% 16% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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