Bundesliga·Etapa 21·
Bundesliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
19%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,341,163,50sigur1,37–3,310,31–2,011,68–5,32mai sigur1,12–3,560,08–2,241,20–5,80
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,123,9911,11sigur5,26–8,982,24–5,737,50–14,71mai sigur4,77–9,471,78–6,196,55–15,67
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,5411,0131,55sigur16,61–24,467,44–14,5724,06–39,03mai sigur15,52–25,566,48–15,5322,01–41,08
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,897,4121,31sigur10,95–16,844,73–10,0915,69–26,93mai sigur10,12–17,674,00–10,8314,12–28,50
Șuturi blocate
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,613,048,65sigur3,73–7,501,39–4,705,12–12,19mai sigur3,19–8,040,90–5,194,08–13,23
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,564,1010,65sigur4,34–8,772,10–6,106,44–14,87mai sigur3,77–9,341,56–6,635,33–15,98
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7545,34sigur47,96–61,5438,56–52,13mai sigur46,29–63,2136,89–53,80
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție481404886sigur414–549338–471752–1019mai sigur396–567320–488716–1055
Precizie pase %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,5069,43sigur69,47–77,5365,10–73,75mai sigur68,18–78,8263,79–75,06
Faulturi
60%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2511,4624,71sigur10,42–16,098,52–14,4118,93–30,50mai sigur9,66–16,857,77–15,1517,43–32,00
Ofsaiduri
53%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,101,453,55sigur0,94–3,260,36–2,541,30–5,80mai sigur0,64–3,560,07–2,830,71–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
37%
21%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,953,77sigur0,77–2,870,82–3,081,59–5,95mai sigur0,50–3,130,53–3,371,04–6,51
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
18%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,804,787,58sigur1,36–4,233,22–6,334,58–10,57mai sigur0,98–4,622,80–6,763,77–11,38
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,34 1,37–3,31 1,12–3,56 | 1,16 0,31–2,01 0,08–2,24 | 3,50 1,68–5,32 1,20–5,80 | 64% 19% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,12 5,26–8,98 4,77–9,47 | 3,99 2,24–5,73 1,78–6,19 | 11,11 7,50–14,71 6,55–15,67 | 79% 13% |
| Total șuturi | 20,54 16,61–24,46 15,52–25,56 | 11,01 7,44–14,57 6,48–15,53 | 31,55 24,06–39,03 22,01–41,08 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,89 10,95–16,84 10,12–17,67 | 7,41 4,73–10,09 4,00–10,83 | 21,31 15,69–26,93 14,12–28,50 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,61 3,73–7,50 3,19–8,04 | 3,04 1,39–4,70 0,90–5,19 | 8,65 5,12–12,19 4,08–13,23 | 76% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,56 4,34–8,77 3,77–9,34 | 4,10 2,10–6,10 1,56–6,63 | 10,65 6,44–14,87 5,33–15,98 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 54,75 47,96–61,54 46,29–63,21 | 45,34 38,56–52,13 36,89–53,80 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 481 414–549 396–567 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,50 69,47–77,53 68,18–78,82 | 69,43 65,10–73,75 63,79–75,06 | — | 68% 28% |
| Faulturi | 13,25 10,42–16,09 9,66–16,85 | 11,46 8,52–14,41 7,77–15,15 | 24,71 18,93–30,50 17,43–32,00 | 60% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,10 0,94–3,26 0,64–3,56 | 1,45 0,36–2,54 0,07–2,83 | 3,55 1,30–5,80 0,71–6,39 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,82 0,77–2,87 0,50–3,13 | 1,95 0,82–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,04–6,51 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,80 1,36–4,23 0,98–4,62 | 4,78 3,22–6,33 2,80–6,76 | 7,58 4,58–10,57 3,77–11,38 | 18% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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