Bundesliga·Etapa 21·
Bundesliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
23%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,323,10sigur0,81–2,750,46–2,171,28–4,92mai sigur0,56–3,000,24–2,400,80–5,40
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,194,0610,25sigur4,32–8,052,32–5,816,64–13,85mai sigur3,83–8,541,86–6,275,69–14,81
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5111,0727,58sigur12,59–20,447,51–14,6320,10–35,07mai sigur11,50–21,536,55–15,5918,04–37,12
Șuturi din careu
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,627,6719,29sigur8,68–14,564,99–10,3513,67–24,91mai sigur7,85–15,394,25–11,0912,10–26,48
Șuturi blocate
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,043,528,56sigur3,16–6,921,87–5,175,03–12,10mai sigur2,61–7,471,38–5,673,99–13,13
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,763,829,58sigur3,55–7,981,82–5,825,37–13,80mai sigur2,97–8,551,29–6,354,26–14,90
Posesie %
52%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,3848,74sigur43,59–57,1741,95–55,52mai sigur41,92–58,8440,28–57,19
Pase
60%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție439407846sigur372–506341–473712–980mai sigur354–524323–491677–1015
Precizie pase %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,7376,64sigur68,71–76,7672,31–80,96mai sigur67,41–78,0671,00–82,27
Faulturi
25%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5213,3023,83sigur7,69–13,3610,36–16,2518,04–29,61mai sigur6,93–14,129,61–17,0016,54–31,11
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,623,20sigur0,42–2,740,52–2,710,95–5,45mai sigur0,12–3,040,24–3,000,36–6,04
Cartonașe galbene
23%
20%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,382,233,61sigur0,33–2,431,10–3,361,44–5,79mai sigur0,07–2,700,81–3,650,88–6,35
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
26%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,533,576,10sigur1,09–3,962,02–5,133,11–9,10mai sigur0,70–4,351,59–5,552,30–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,78 0,81–2,75 0,56–3,00 | 1,32 0,46–2,17 0,24–2,40 | 3,10 1,28–4,92 0,80–5,40 | 48% 23% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,19 4,32–8,05 3,83–8,54 | 4,06 2,32–5,81 1,86–6,27 | 10,25 6,64–13,85 5,69–14,81 | 69% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 16,51 12,59–20,44 11,50–21,53 | 11,07 7,51–14,63 6,55–15,59 | 27,58 20,10–35,07 18,04–37,12 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,62 8,68–14,56 7,85–15,39 | 7,67 4,99–10,35 4,25–11,09 | 19,29 13,67–24,91 12,10–26,48 | 78% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,04 3,16–6,92 2,61–7,47 | 3,52 1,87–5,17 1,38–5,67 | 8,56 5,03–12,10 3,99–13,13 | 64% 24% |
| Cornere | 5,76 3,55–7,98 2,97–8,55 | 3,82 1,82–5,82 1,29–6,35 | 9,58 5,37–13,80 4,26–14,90 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 50,38 43,59–57,17 41,92–58,84 | 48,74 41,95–55,52 40,28–57,19 | — | 52% 44% |
| Pase | 439 372–506 354–524 | 407 341–473 323–491 | 846 712–980 677–1015 | 60% 39% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,73 68,71–76,76 67,41–78,06 | 76,64 72,31–80,96 71,00–82,27 | — | 28% 67% |
| Faulturi | 10,52 7,69–13,36 6,93–14,12 | 13,30 10,36–16,25 9,61–17,00 | 23,83 18,04–29,61 16,54–31,11 | 25% 68% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,58 0,42–2,74 0,12–3,04 | 1,62 0,52–2,71 0,24–3,00 | 3,20 0,95–5,45 0,36–6,04 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,38 0,33–2,43 0,07–2,70 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 3,61 1,44–5,79 0,88–6,35 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,53 1,09–3,96 0,70–4,35 | 3,57 2,02–5,13 1,59–5,55 | 6,10 3,11–9,10 2,30–9,91 | 26% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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