Bundesliga·Etapa 21·
Bundesliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,723,23sigur0,54–2,470,87–2,581,41–5,05mai sigur0,29–2,730,64–2,810,93–5,53
Șuturi pe poartă
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,935,1210,05sigur3,07–6,803,38–6,866,45–13,66mai sigur2,58–7,292,91–7,335,49–14,62
Total șuturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8114,5028,31sigur9,89–17,7410,94–18,0620,83–35,80mai sigur8,80–18,839,98–19,0218,78–37,85
Șuturi din careu
32%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,5510,0218,57sigur5,60–11,497,34–12,7012,95–24,19mai sigur4,77–12,326,60–13,4411,38–25,76
Șuturi blocate
46%
14%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,023,817,83sigur2,14–5,902,16–5,474,29–11,36mai sigur1,59–6,441,67–5,963,26–12,40
Cornere
45%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,205,0810,28sigur2,99–7,413,08–7,086,07–14,50mai sigur2,41–7,992,55–7,614,96–15,60
Posesie %
33%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,0453,34sigur40,25–53,8346,56–60,13mai sigur38,58–55,5044,89–61,80
Pase
34%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție436486921sigur368–503419–552788–1055mai sigur350–521402–570752–1091
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,4773,65sigur62,44–70,5069,32–77,97mai sigur61,15–71,7968,01–79,28
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2512,0623,31sigur8,41–14,099,11–15,0017,52–29,09mai sigur7,65–14,848,36–15,7516,02–30,59
Ofsaiduri
28%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,462,023,48sigur0,30–2,620,93–3,121,23–5,74mai sigur0,00–2,920,64–3,400,64–6,33
Cartonașe galbene
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,753,27sigur0,47–2,570,62–2,881,09–5,44mai sigur0,20–2,830,33–3,170,53–6,00
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,373,366,72sigur1,93–4,801,80–4,923,73–9,72mai sigur1,54–5,191,38–5,342,92–10,53
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,51 0,54–2,47 0,29–2,73 | 1,72 0,87–2,58 0,64–2,81 | 3,23 1,41–5,05 0,93–5,53 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,93 3,07–6,80 2,58–7,29 | 5,12 3,38–6,86 2,91–7,33 | 10,05 6,45–13,66 5,49–14,62 | 41% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 13,81 9,89–17,74 8,80–18,83 | 14,50 10,94–18,06 9,98–19,02 | 28,31 20,83–35,80 18,78–37,85 | 41% 51% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,55 5,60–11,49 4,77–12,32 | 10,02 7,34–12,70 6,60–13,44 | 18,57 12,95–24,19 11,38–25,76 | 32% 59% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,02 2,14–5,90 1,59–6,44 | 3,81 2,16–5,47 1,67–5,96 | 7,83 4,29–11,36 3,26–12,40 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Cornere | 5,20 2,99–7,41 2,41–7,99 | 5,08 3,08–7,08 2,55–7,61 | 10,28 6,07–14,50 4,96–15,60 | 45% 42% |
| Posesie % | 47,04 40,25–53,83 38,58–55,50 | 53,34 46,56–60,13 44,89–61,80 | — | 33% 62% |
| Pase | 436 368–503 350–521 | 486 419–552 402–570 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 34% 66% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,47 62,44–70,50 61,15–71,79 | 73,65 69,32–77,97 68,01–79,28 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 11,25 8,41–14,09 7,65–14,84 | 12,06 9,11–15,00 8,36–15,75 | 23,31 17,52–29,09 16,02–30,59 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,46 0,30–2,62 0,00–2,92 | 2,02 0,93–3,12 0,64–3,40 | 3,48 1,23–5,74 0,64–6,33 | 28% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,52 0,47–2,57 0,20–2,83 | 1,75 0,62–2,88 0,33–3,17 | 3,27 1,09–5,44 0,53–6,00 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,37 1,93–4,80 1,54–5,19 | 3,36 1,80–4,92 1,38–5,34 | 6,72 3,73–9,72 2,92–10,53 | 42% 16% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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