Bundesliga·Etapa 21·
Bundesliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
21%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,153,18sigur1,06–3,000,30–2,011,36–5,00mai sigur0,81–3,250,07–2,230,88–5,48
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,823,599,40sigur3,95–7,681,84–5,335,80–13,01mai sigur3,46–8,171,38–5,804,84–13,96
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,4510,4726,91sigur12,52–20,376,90–14,0319,43–34,40mai sigur11,43–21,465,95–14,9917,38–36,45
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,526,8818,39sigur8,57–14,464,20–9,5612,77–24,02mai sigur7,74–15,293,46–10,3011,20–25,58
Șuturi blocate
59%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,303,187,47sigur2,42–6,181,52–4,833,94–11,01mai sigur1,87–6,731,03–5,322,90–12,05
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,924,0810,00sigur3,71–8,132,08–6,085,79–14,21mai sigur3,13–8,711,55–6,614,68–15,32
Posesie %
64%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,9646,95sigur47,17–60,7540,16–53,73mai sigur45,50–62,4238,49–55,40
Pase
69%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție467408875sigur400–535341–474742–1009mai sigur382–553324–492706–1045
Precizie pase %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,1769,12sigur67,14–75,2064,79–73,44mai sigur65,85–76,4963,49–74,75
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9911,9822,97sigur8,15–13,829,04–14,9317,19–28,75mai sigur7,39–14,588,29–15,6815,68–30,26
Ofsaiduri
36%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,563,05sigur0,33–2,650,47–2,660,80–5,30mai sigur0,02–2,950,18–2,940,21–5,89
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,983,58sigur0,55–2,650,85–3,111,40–5,76mai sigur0,29–2,920,56–3,400,84–6,31
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
21%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,293,736,03sigur0,86–3,732,18–5,293,04–9,02mai sigur0,47–4,121,75–5,712,22–9,83
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,03 1,06–3,00 0,81–3,25 | 1,15 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,23 | 3,18 1,36–5,00 0,88–5,48 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,82 3,95–7,68 3,46–8,17 | 3,59 1,84–5,33 1,38–5,80 | 9,40 5,80–13,01 4,84–13,96 | 71% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 16,45 12,52–20,37 11,43–21,46 | 10,47 6,90–14,03 5,95–14,99 | 26,91 19,43–34,40 17,38–36,45 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,52 8,57–14,46 7,74–15,29 | 6,88 4,20–9,56 3,46–10,30 | 18,39 12,77–24,02 11,20–25,58 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,30 2,42–6,18 1,87–6,73 | 3,18 1,52–4,83 1,03–5,32 | 7,47 3,94–11,01 2,90–12,05 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Cornere | 5,92 3,71–8,13 3,13–8,71 | 4,08 2,08–6,08 1,55–6,61 | 10,00 5,79–14,21 4,68–15,32 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 53,96 47,17–60,75 45,50–62,42 | 46,95 40,16–53,73 38,49–55,40 | — | 64% 32% |
| Pase | 467 400–535 382–553 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 69% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,17 67,14–75,20 65,85–76,49 | 69,12 64,79–73,44 63,49–74,75 | — | 58% 37% |
| Faulturi | 10,99 8,15–13,82 7,39–14,58 | 11,98 9,04–14,93 8,29–15,68 | 22,97 17,19–28,75 15,68–30,26 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,49 0,33–2,65 0,02–2,95 | 1,56 0,47–2,66 0,18–2,94 | 3,05 0,80–5,30 0,21–5,89 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,55–2,65 0,29–2,92 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 3,58 1,40–5,76 0,84–6,31 | 32% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,29 0,86–3,73 0,47–4,12 | 3,73 2,18–5,29 1,75–5,71 | 6,03 3,04–9,02 2,22–9,83 | 21% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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