Bundesliga·Etapa 23·
Bundesliga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
23%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,042,81sigur0,80–2,740,19–1,900,99–4,63mai sigur0,55–2,990,00–2,130,51–5,11
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,373,458,82sigur3,51–7,241,71–5,195,22–12,43mai sigur3,02–7,731,24–5,664,26–13,38
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1710,3626,53sigur12,25–20,106,79–13,9219,04–34,02mai sigur11,16–21,195,83–14,8816,99–36,07
Șuturi din careu
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,576,8918,46sigur8,63–14,524,21–9,5712,84–24,09mai sigur7,80–15,343,47–10,3111,27–25,65
Șuturi blocate
61%
14%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,333,097,42sigur2,45–6,211,43–4,743,88–10,95mai sigur1,90–6,760,94–5,232,84–11,99
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,364,0610,42sigur4,14–8,572,06–6,066,21–14,63mai sigur3,57–9,141,53–6,605,10–15,74
Posesie %
60%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,9247,65sigur46,13–59,7140,86–54,43mai sigur44,46–61,3839,19–56,10
Pase
67%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție467412880sigur400–534346–479746–1013mai sigur382–552328–496710–1049
Precizie pase %
56%
39%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,6667,92sigur65,63–73,6963,59–72,24mai sigur64,34–74,9862,29–73,55
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1911,1922,38sigur8,35–14,028,25–14,1416,60–28,16mai sigur7,59–14,787,50–14,8815,09–29,67
Ofsaiduri
52%
21%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,081,473,55sigur0,92–3,240,37–2,561,29–5,80mai sigur0,62–3,540,09–2,850,70–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
35%
23%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,773,38sigur0,57–2,660,64–2,901,21–5,56mai sigur0,30–2,930,35–3,190,65–6,12
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
25%
15%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,293,415,70sigur0,86–3,731,85–4,972,71–8,69mai sigur0,47–4,121,43–5,391,90–9,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,74 0,55–2,99 | 1,04 0,19–1,90 0,00–2,13 | 2,81 0,99–4,63 0,51–5,11 | 54% 23% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,37 3,51–7,24 3,02–7,73 | 3,45 1,71–5,19 1,24–5,66 | 8,82 5,22–12,43 4,26–13,38 | 68% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 16,17 12,25–20,10 11,16–21,19 | 10,36 6,79–13,92 5,83–14,88 | 26,53 19,04–34,02 16,99–36,07 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,57 8,63–14,52 7,80–15,34 | 6,89 4,21–9,57 3,47–10,31 | 18,46 12,84–24,09 11,27–25,65 | 84% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,33 2,45–6,21 1,90–6,76 | 3,09 1,43–4,74 0,94–5,23 | 7,42 3,88–10,95 2,84–11,99 | 61% 14% 26% |
| Cornere | 6,36 4,14–8,57 3,57–9,14 | 4,06 2,06–6,06 1,53–6,60 | 10,42 6,21–14,63 5,10–15,74 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 52,92 46,13–59,71 44,46–61,38 | 47,65 40,86–54,43 39,19–56,10 | — | 60% 36% |
| Pase | 467 400–534 382–552 | 412 346–479 328–496 | 880 746–1013 710–1049 | 67% 32% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,66 65,63–73,69 64,34–74,98 | 67,92 63,59–72,24 62,29–73,55 | — | 56% 39% |
| Faulturi | 11,19 8,35–14,02 7,59–14,78 | 11,19 8,25–14,14 7,50–14,88 | 22,38 16,60–28,16 15,09–29,67 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,08 0,92–3,24 0,62–3,54 | 1,47 0,37–2,56 0,09–2,85 | 3,55 1,29–5,80 0,70–6,39 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,57–2,66 0,30–2,93 | 1,77 0,64–2,90 0,35–3,19 | 3,38 1,21–5,56 0,65–6,12 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,29 0,86–3,73 0,47–4,12 | 3,41 1,85–4,97 1,43–5,39 | 5,70 2,71–8,69 1,90–9,51 | 25% 15% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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