Bundesliga·Etapa 24·
Bundesliga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,703,05sigur0,38–2,310,85–2,561,22–4,87mai sigur0,13–2,560,62–2,780,74–5,35
Șuturi pe poartă
36%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,615,269,87sigur2,75–6,473,52–7,006,26–13,47mai sigur2,26–6,963,05–7,475,31–14,43
Total șuturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2515,1130,36sigur11,33–19,1811,54–18,6722,87–37,85mai sigur10,24–20,2710,58–19,6320,82–39,90
Șuturi din careu
34%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,2510,5319,78sigur6,31–12,197,85–13,2114,15–25,40mai sigur5,48–13,027,11–13,9512,59–26,97
Șuturi blocate
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,054,298,34sigur2,17–5,942,63–5,944,81–11,88mai sigur1,63–6,482,14–6,433,77–12,91
Cornere
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,985,7510,73sigur2,77–7,193,75–7,756,52–14,95mai sigur2,19–7,773,22–8,295,41–16,05
Posesie %
38%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,7752,12sigur40,98–54,5645,33–58,90mai sigur39,31–56,2343,66–60,58
Pase
42%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție412436848sigur345–480369–502714–982mai sigur327–498352–520679–1017
Precizie pase %
26%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,0069,45sigur60,97–69,0365,12–73,77mai sigur59,68–70,3263,81–75,08
Faulturi
48%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3611,0622,42sigur8,52–14,208,11–14,0016,63–28,20mai sigur7,77–14,957,36–14,7515,13–29,70
Ofsaiduri
45%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,041,773,81sigur0,88–3,200,67–2,861,56–6,06mai sigur0,58–3,510,38–3,150,97–6,65
Cartonașe galbene
41%
23%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,603,30sigur0,65–2,740,47–2,731,12–5,47mai sigur0,38–3,010,18–3,020,56–6,03
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,263,306,56sigur1,82–4,691,75–4,863,57–9,55mai sigur1,43–5,081,32–5,282,75–10,36
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,38–2,31 0,13–2,56 | 1,70 0,85–2,56 0,62–2,78 | 3,05 1,22–4,87 0,74–5,35 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,61 2,75–6,47 2,26–6,96 | 5,26 3,52–7,00 3,05–7,47 | 9,87 6,26–13,47 5,31–14,43 | 36% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 15,25 11,33–19,18 10,24–20,27 | 15,11 11,54–18,67 10,58–19,63 | 30,36 22,87–37,85 20,82–39,90 | 47% 45% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,25 6,31–12,19 5,48–13,02 | 10,53 7,85–13,21 7,11–13,95 | 19,78 14,15–25,40 12,59–26,97 | 34% 57% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,05 2,17–5,94 1,63–6,48 | 4,29 2,63–5,94 2,14–6,43 | 8,34 4,81–11,88 3,77–12,91 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,98 2,77–7,19 2,19–7,77 | 5,75 3,75–7,75 3,22–8,29 | 10,73 6,52–14,95 5,41–16,05 | 35% 53% |
| Posesie % | 47,77 40,98–54,56 39,31–56,23 | 52,12 45,33–58,90 43,66–60,58 | — | 38% 58% |
| Pase | 412 345–480 327–498 | 436 369–502 352–520 | 848 714–982 679–1017 | 42% 58% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,00 60,97–69,03 59,68–70,32 | 69,45 65,12–73,77 63,81–75,08 | — | 26% 69% |
| Faulturi | 11,36 8,52–14,20 7,77–14,95 | 11,06 8,11–14,00 7,36–14,75 | 22,42 16,63–28,20 15,13–29,70 | 48% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,04 0,88–3,20 0,58–3,51 | 1,77 0,67–2,86 0,38–3,15 | 3,81 1,56–6,06 0,97–6,65 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,70 0,65–2,74 0,38–3,01 | 1,60 0,47–2,73 0,18–3,02 | 3,30 1,12–5,47 0,56–6,03 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,26 1,82–4,69 1,43–5,08 | 3,30 1,75–4,86 1,32–5,28 | 6,56 3,57–9,55 2,75–10,36 | 41% 16% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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