Bundesliga·Etapa 25·
Bundesliga·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
21%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,083,13sigur1,09–3,030,22–1,931,31–4,96mai sigur0,84–3,280,00–2,160,83–5,44
Șuturi pe poartă
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,223,709,93sigur4,36–8,081,96–5,456,32–13,53mai sigur3,87–8,571,50–5,915,37–14,49
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,9110,9129,82sigur14,99–22,847,35–14,4722,34–37,31mai sigur13,90–23,936,39–15,4320,29–39,36
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,876,9519,83sigur9,93–15,814,27–9,6314,20–25,45mai sigur9,10–16,643,54–10,3712,64–27,02
Șuturi blocate
78%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,562,878,43sigur3,68–7,441,22–4,524,89–11,96mai sigur3,13–7,980,72–5,023,86–13,00
Cornere
77%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,603,7810,38sigur4,39–8,821,78–5,786,17–14,60mai sigur3,82–9,391,24–6,315,06–15,70
Posesie %
78%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,8842,74sigur50,09–63,6735,95–49,52mai sigur48,42–65,3434,28–51,19
Pase
86%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție513381895sigur446–581315–448761–1028mai sigur428–599297–465725–1064
Precizie pase %
70%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,5268,91sigur69,49–77,5564,58–73,23mai sigur68,20–78,8463,28–74,54
Faulturi
25%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1712,9723,14sigur7,33–13,0110,03–15,9217,36–28,92mai sigur6,58–13,769,28–16,6615,85–30,43
Ofsaiduri
49%
22%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,433,33sigur0,74–3,060,34–2,521,08–5,58mai sigur0,44–3,360,05–2,810,49–6,17
Cartonașe galbene
19%
21%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,112,093,20sigur0,06–2,160,96–3,221,02–5,38mai sigur0,00–2,420,67–3,510,46–5,94
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,110,14sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,290,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,430,00–0,77
Parade portar
17%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,434,366,78sigur0,99–3,862,80–5,913,79–9,78mai sigur0,60–4,252,38–6,342,98–10,59
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,06 1,09–3,03 0,84–3,28 | 1,08 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 3,13 1,31–4,96 0,83–5,44 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,22 4,36–8,08 3,87–8,57 | 3,70 1,96–5,45 1,50–5,91 | 9,93 6,32–13,53 5,37–14,49 | 74% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 18,91 14,99–22,84 13,90–23,93 | 10,91 7,35–14,47 6,39–15,43 | 29,82 22,34–37,31 20,29–39,36 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,87 9,93–15,81 9,10–16,64 | 6,95 4,27–9,63 3,54–10,37 | 19,83 14,20–25,45 12,64–27,02 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,56 3,68–7,44 3,13–7,98 | 2,87 1,22–4,52 0,72–5,02 | 8,43 4,89–11,96 3,86–13,00 | 78% 13% |
| Cornere | 6,60 4,39–8,82 3,82–9,39 | 3,78 1,78–5,78 1,24–6,31 | 10,38 6,17–14,60 5,06–15,70 | 77% 15% |
| Posesie % | 56,88 50,09–63,67 48,42–65,34 | 42,74 35,95–49,52 34,28–51,19 | — | 78% 19% |
| Pase | 513 446–581 428–599 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 895 761–1028 725–1064 | 86% 13% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,52 69,49–77,55 68,20–78,84 | 68,91 64,58–73,23 63,28–74,54 | — | 70% 25% |
| Faulturi | 10,17 7,33–13,01 6,58–13,76 | 12,97 10,03–15,92 9,28–16,66 | 23,14 17,36–28,92 15,85–30,43 | 25% 68% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 1,43 0,34–2,52 0,05–2,81 | 3,33 1,08–5,58 0,49–6,17 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,11 0,06–2,16 0,00–2,42 | 2,09 0,96–3,22 0,67–3,51 | 3,20 1,02–5,38 0,46–5,94 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,43 0,99–3,86 0,60–4,25 | 4,36 2,80–5,91 2,38–6,34 | 6,78 3,79–9,78 2,98–10,59 | 17% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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