Bundesliga·Etapa 26·
Bundesliga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
15%
18%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,042,393,43sigur0,07–2,011,54–3,251,61–5,25mai sigur0,00–2,261,31–3,471,13–5,73
Șuturi pe poartă
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,626,8210,45sigur1,76–5,495,08–8,576,84–14,05mai sigur1,27–5,984,61–9,035,89–15,01
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4117,0028,41sigur7,48–15,3313,44–20,5620,92–35,90mai sigur6,39–16,4212,48–21,5218,87–37,95
Șuturi din careu
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,5512,8820,43sigur4,61–10,4910,20–15,5614,80–26,05mai sigur3,78–11,329,46–16,3013,24–27,62
Șuturi blocate
23%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,344,918,25sigur1,45–5,223,26–6,574,72–11,79mai sigur0,91–5,762,77–7,063,68–12,82
Cornere
18%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,806,179,97sigur1,59–6,024,17–8,175,76–14,19mai sigur1,02–6,593,64–8,704,65–15,29
Posesie %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,0558,56sigur35,26–48,8551,77–65,34mai sigur33,59–50,5150,10–67,01
Pase
15%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție375498872sigur307–442431–564739–1006mai sigur289–460414–582703–1042
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,7975,26sigur60,76–68,8270,93–79,58mai sigur59,47–70,1169,62–80,89
Faulturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6310,2222,85sigur9,79–15,477,27–13,1617,06–28,63mai sigur9,03–16,226,53–13,9115,56–30,13
Ofsaiduri
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,753,45sigur0,53–2,850,66–2,841,19–5,70mai sigur0,23–3,160,37–3,130,60–6,29
Cartonașe galbene
53%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,403,45sigur1,00–3,100,27–2,531,27–5,63mai sigur0,74–3,370,00–2,820,72–6,19
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,080,20sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,270,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,400,00–0,83
Parade portar
65%
14%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,002,506,50sigur2,56–5,430,94–4,063,50–9,49mai sigur2,17–5,820,52–4,482,69–10,30
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,04 0,07–2,01 0,00–2,26 | 2,39 1,54–3,25 1,31–3,47 | 3,43 1,61–5,25 1,13–5,73 | 15% 18% 67% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,62 1,76–5,49 1,27–5,98 | 6,82 5,08–8,57 4,61–9,03 | 10,45 6,84–14,05 5,89–15,01 | 80% |
| Total șuturi | 11,41 7,48–15,33 6,39–16,42 | 17,00 13,44–20,56 12,48–21,52 | 28,41 20,92–35,90 18,87–37,95 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,55 4,61–10,49 3,78–11,32 | 12,88 10,20–15,56 9,46–16,30 | 20,43 14,80–26,05 13,24–27,62 | 86% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,34 1,45–5,22 0,91–5,76 | 4,91 3,26–6,57 2,77–7,06 | 8,25 4,72–11,79 3,68–12,82 | 23% 65% |
| Cornere | 3,80 1,59–6,02 1,02–6,59 | 6,17 4,17–8,17 3,64–8,70 | 9,97 5,76–14,19 4,65–15,29 | 18% 72% |
| Posesie % | 42,05 35,26–48,85 33,59–50,51 | 58,56 51,77–65,34 50,10–67,01 | — | 15% 82% |
| Pase | 375 307–442 289–460 | 498 431–564 414–582 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 15% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,79 60,76–68,82 59,47–70,11 | 75,26 70,93–79,58 69,62–80,89 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 12,63 9,79–15,47 9,03–16,22 | 10,22 7,27–13,16 6,53–13,91 | 22,85 17,06–28,63 15,56–30,13 | 66% 27% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,16 | 1,75 0,66–2,84 0,37–3,13 | 3,45 1,19–5,70 0,60–6,29 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,05 1,00–3,10 0,74–3,37 | 1,40 0,27–2,53 0,00–2,82 | 3,45 1,27–5,63 0,72–6,19 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 4,00 2,56–5,43 2,17–5,82 | 2,50 0,94–4,06 0,52–4,48 | 6,50 3,50–9,49 2,69–10,30 | 65% 14% 21% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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