Bundesliga·Etapa 26·
Bundesliga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,542,043,58sigur0,57–2,511,19–2,901,76–5,41mai sigur0,32–2,760,96–3,131,28–5,89
Șuturi pe poartă
30%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,685,9110,60sigur2,82–6,554,17–7,666,99–14,20mai sigur2,33–7,043,70–8,126,04–15,16
Total șuturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4515,5830,03sigur10,53–18,3812,01–19,1422,54–37,52mai sigur9,44–19,4711,05–20,1020,49–39,57
Șuturi din careu
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,4411,1120,55sigur6,50–12,398,43–13,7914,93–26,17mai sigur5,67–13,217,69–14,5313,36–27,74
Șuturi blocate
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,084,298,37sigur2,20–5,972,64–5,944,84–11,91mai sigur1,66–6,512,14–6,433,80–12,94
Cornere
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,855,6810,53sigur2,64–7,063,68–7,686,32–14,74mai sigur2,06–7,643,15–8,215,21–15,85
Posesie %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,6554,88sigur38,86–52,4448,09–61,66mai sigur37,19–54,1146,42–63,33
Pase
27%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție453526979sigur386–520460–593845–1113mai sigur368–538442–610810–1148
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,2776,65sigur64,24–72,3072,32–80,97mai sigur62,95–73,5971,02–82,28
Faulturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0710,5022,57sigur9,23–14,917,56–13,4516,79–28,35mai sigur8,48–15,666,81–14,1915,29–29,86
Ofsaiduri
39%
24%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,543,15sigur0,44–2,760,45–2,640,89–5,40mai sigur0,14–3,060,16–2,930,31–5,99
Cartonașe galbene
35%
23%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,683,19sigur0,46–2,560,55–2,811,01–5,37mai sigur0,19–2,830,26–3,100,45–5,93
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,070,16sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,260,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,390,00–0,79
Parade portar
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,903,237,13sigur2,46–5,331,67–4,794,13–10,12mai sigur2,07–5,721,25–5,213,32–10,93
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,54 0,57–2,51 0,32–2,76 | 2,04 1,19–2,90 0,96–3,13 | 3,58 1,76–5,41 1,28–5,89 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,68 2,82–6,55 2,33–7,04 | 5,91 4,17–7,66 3,70–8,12 | 10,60 6,99–14,20 6,04–15,16 | 30% 59% |
| Total șuturi | 14,45 10,53–18,38 9,44–19,47 | 15,58 12,01–19,14 11,05–20,10 | 30,03 22,54–37,52 20,49–39,57 | 38% 55% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,44 6,50–12,39 5,67–13,21 | 11,11 8,43–13,79 7,69–14,53 | 20,55 14,93–26,17 13,36–27,74 | 32% 60% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,08 2,20–5,97 1,66–6,51 | 4,29 2,64–5,94 2,14–6,43 | 8,37 4,84–11,91 3,80–12,94 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,85 2,64–7,06 2,06–7,64 | 5,68 3,68–7,68 3,15–8,21 | 10,53 6,32–14,74 5,21–15,85 | 34% 54% |
| Posesie % | 45,65 38,86–52,44 37,19–54,11 | 54,88 48,09–61,66 46,42–63,33 | — | 27% 69% |
| Pase | 453 386–520 368–538 | 526 460–593 442–610 | 979 845–1113 810–1148 | 27% 73% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,27 64,24–72,30 62,95–73,59 | 76,65 72,32–80,97 71,02–82,28 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 12,07 9,23–14,91 8,48–15,66 | 10,50 7,56–13,45 6,81–14,19 | 22,57 16,79–28,35 15,29–29,86 | 59% 33% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,14–3,06 | 1,54 0,45–2,64 0,16–2,93 | 3,15 0,89–5,40 0,31–5,99 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,51 0,46–2,56 0,19–2,83 | 1,68 0,55–2,81 0,26–3,10 | 3,19 1,01–5,37 0,45–5,93 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,90 2,46–5,33 2,07–5,72 | 3,23 1,67–4,79 1,25–5,21 | 7,13 4,13–10,12 3,32–10,93 | 52% 15% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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