Bundesliga·Etapa 26·
Bundesliga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
22%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,973,30sigur0,36–2,301,12–2,831,48–5,12mai sigur0,11–2,550,89–3,061,00–5,60
Șuturi pe poartă
27%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,455,9210,38sigur2,59–6,314,18–7,676,77–13,98mai sigur2,10–6,803,72–8,135,82–14,94
Total șuturi
19%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8017,0429,83sigur8,87–16,7213,47–20,6022,34–37,32mai sigur7,78–17,8112,51–21,5620,29–39,37
Șuturi din careu
17%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,5112,2520,76sigur5,57–11,459,57–14,9315,14–26,38mai sigur4,74–12,288,83–15,6713,57–27,95
Șuturi blocate
34%
14%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,664,348,01sigur1,78–5,542,69–6,004,47–11,54mai sigur1,24–6,092,20–6,493,44–12,58
Cornere
31%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,986,1311,10sigur2,77–7,194,13–8,136,89–15,32mai sigur2,19–7,773,59–8,665,78–16,43
Posesie %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,4654,98sigur38,67–52,2548,19–61,76mai sigur37,00–53,9246,52–63,43
Pase
22%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție396487883sigur328–463421–554749–1016mai sigur310–481403–571713–1052
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,5272,64sigur57,49–65,5568,32–76,96mai sigur56,20–66,8567,01–78,27
Faulturi
24%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5613,5224,08sigur7,72–13,4010,57–16,4618,30–29,86mai sigur6,97–14,169,82–17,2116,79–31,36
Ofsaiduri
26%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,562,303,86sigur0,40–2,731,21–3,391,61–6,12mai sigur0,10–3,030,92–3,681,02–6,71
Cartonașe galbene
27%
20%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,562,213,77sigur0,51–2,611,08–3,341,59–5,95mai sigur0,25–2,880,79–3,631,04–6,51
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
58%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,992,926,91sigur2,55–5,431,37–4,483,92–9,90mai sigur2,17–5,810,94–4,903,11–10,72
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,33 0,36–2,30 0,11–2,55 | 1,97 1,12–2,83 0,89–3,06 | 3,30 1,48–5,12 1,00–5,60 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,45 2,59–6,31 2,10–6,80 | 5,92 4,18–7,67 3,72–8,13 | 10,38 6,77–13,98 5,82–14,94 | 27% 62% |
| Total șuturi | 12,80 8,87–16,72 7,78–17,81 | 17,04 13,47–20,60 12,51–21,56 | 29,83 22,34–37,32 20,29–39,37 | 19% 75% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,51 5,57–11,45 4,74–12,28 | 12,25 9,57–14,93 8,83–15,67 | 20,76 15,14–26,38 13,57–27,95 | 17% 76% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,66 1,78–5,54 1,24–6,09 | 4,34 2,69–6,00 2,20–6,49 | 8,01 4,47–11,54 3,44–12,58 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Cornere | 4,98 2,77–7,19 2,19–7,77 | 6,13 4,13–8,13 3,59–8,66 | 11,10 6,89–15,32 5,78–16,43 | 31% 58% |
| Posesie % | 45,46 38,67–52,25 37,00–53,92 | 54,98 48,19–61,76 46,52–63,43 | — | 27% 69% |
| Pase | 396 328–463 310–481 | 487 421–554 403–571 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 22% 78% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,52 57,49–65,55 56,20–66,85 | 72,64 68,32–76,96 67,01–78,27 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 10,56 7,72–13,40 6,97–14,16 | 13,52 10,57–16,46 9,82–17,21 | 24,08 18,30–29,86 16,79–31,36 | 24% 69% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,73 0,10–3,03 | 2,30 1,21–3,39 0,92–3,68 | 3,86 1,61–6,12 1,02–6,71 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,56 0,51–2,61 0,25–2,88 | 2,21 1,08–3,34 0,79–3,63 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,04–6,51 | 27% 20% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,99 2,55–5,43 2,17–5,81 | 2,92 1,37–4,48 0,94–4,90 | 6,91 3,92–9,90 3,11–10,72 | 58% 14% 27% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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