Bundesliga·Etapa 27·
Bundesliga·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,680,903,57sigur1,71–3,640,04–1,751,75–5,40mai sigur1,46–3,900,00–1,981,27–5,88
Șuturi pe poartă
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,292,9210,21sigur5,43–9,161,18–4,666,61–13,82mai sigur4,94–9,650,71–5,135,65–14,77
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,458,3527,80sigur15,52–23,374,79–11,9220,32–35,29mai sigur14,43–24,473,83–12,8818,27–37,34
Șuturi din careu
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,165,7419,90sigur11,21–17,103,06–8,4214,27–25,52mai sigur10,38–17,932,32–9,1612,71–27,09
Șuturi blocate
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,452,427,87sigur3,57–7,330,76–4,074,33–11,40mai sigur3,03–7,880,27–4,563,30–12,44
Cornere
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,063,0810,13sigur4,84–9,271,08–5,085,92–14,35mai sigur4,27–9,840,54–5,614,81–15,45
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,0539,07sigur55,26–68,8432,28–45,85mai sigur53,59–70,5130,61–47,52
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție579367945sigur511–646300–433812–1079mai sigur493–664283–451776–1115
Precizie pase %
84%
13%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,8769,78sigur73,84–81,9065,46–74,11mai sigur72,55–83,1964,15–75,42
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9411,6821,62sigur7,11–12,788,73–14,6215,84–27,40mai sigur6,35–13,547,98–15,3714,33–28,91
Ofsaiduri
29%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,612,173,78sigur0,45–2,771,08–3,271,53–6,04mai sigur0,15–3,070,79–3,560,94–6,63
Cartonașe galbene
24%
22%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,191,883,07sigur0,14–2,240,75–3,010,90–5,25mai sigur0,00–2,510,46–3,300,34–5,81
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,130,18sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,320,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,450,00–0,81
Parade portar
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,094,566,64sigur0,65–3,523,00–6,113,65–9,64mai sigur0,26–3,912,58–6,542,84–10,45
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,68 1,71–3,64 1,46–3,90 | 0,90 0,04–1,75 0,00–1,98 | 3,57 1,75–5,40 1,27–5,88 | 75% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,29 5,43–9,16 4,94–9,65 | 2,92 1,18–4,66 0,71–5,13 | 10,21 6,61–13,82 5,65–14,77 | 89% |
| Total șuturi | 19,45 15,52–23,37 14,43–24,47 | 8,35 4,79–11,92 3,83–12,88 | 27,80 20,32–35,29 18,27–37,34 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,16 11,21–17,10 10,38–17,93 | 5,74 3,06–8,42 2,32–9,16 | 19,90 14,27–25,52 12,71–27,09 | 97% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,45 3,57–7,33 3,03–7,88 | 2,42 0,76–4,07 0,27–4,56 | 7,87 4,33–11,40 3,30–12,44 | 82% |
| Cornere | 7,06 4,84–9,27 4,27–9,84 | 3,08 1,08–5,08 0,54–5,61 | 10,13 5,92–14,35 4,81–15,45 | 87% |
| Posesie % | 62,05 55,26–68,84 53,59–70,51 | 39,07 32,28–45,85 30,61–47,52 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 579 511–646 493–664 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 945 812–1079 776–1115 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,87 73,84–81,90 72,55–83,19 | 69,78 65,46–74,11 64,15–75,42 | — | 84% 13% |
| Faulturi | 9,94 7,11–12,78 6,35–13,54 | 11,68 8,73–14,62 7,98–15,37 | 21,62 15,84–27,40 14,33–28,91 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 2,17 1,08–3,27 0,79–3,56 | 3,78 1,53–6,04 0,94–6,63 | 29% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,19 0,14–2,24 0,00–2,51 | 1,88 0,75–3,01 0,46–3,30 | 3,07 0,90–5,25 0,34–5,81 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,09 0,65–3,52 0,26–3,91 | 4,56 3,00–6,11 2,58–6,54 | 6,64 3,65–9,64 2,84–10,45 | 78% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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