Bundesliga·Etapa 27·
Bundesliga·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
67%
18%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,391,053,45sigur1,42–3,360,20–1,911,62–5,27mai sigur1,17–3,610,00–2,141,14–5,75
Șuturi pe poartă
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,644,0610,69sigur4,77–8,502,32–5,807,09–14,30mai sigur4,28–8,991,85–6,276,13–15,25
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,1210,8030,92sigur16,19–24,047,24–14,3723,43–38,41mai sigur15,10–25,136,28–15,3221,38–40,46
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,917,5321,45sigur10,97–16,864,85–10,2115,82–27,07mai sigur10,14–17,694,11–10,9514,26–28,64
Șuturi blocate
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,912,328,23sigur4,03–7,790,66–3,974,69–11,76mai sigur3,48–8,330,17–4,463,66–12,80
Cornere
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,223,7711,99sigur6,00–10,431,77–5,777,77–16,20mai sigur5,43–11,011,24–6,306,67–17,31
Posesie %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,3135,74sigur57,52–71,1028,96–42,53mai sigur55,85–72,7727,28–44,20
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție611347957sigur543–678280–413824–1091mai sigur525–696263–431788–1127
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,9667,21sigur72,93–80,9862,89–71,54mai sigur71,63–82,2861,58–72,85
Faulturi
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,4112,3221,73sigur6,57–12,259,37–15,2615,95–27,51mai sigur5,82–13,018,63–16,0114,44–29,02
Ofsaiduri
20%
16%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,974,64sigur0,51–2,831,87–4,062,39–6,89mai sigur0,21–3,141,58–4,351,80–7,48
Cartonașe galbene
19%
20%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,182,233,41sigur0,14–2,231,10–3,361,23–5,59mai sigur0,00–2,500,81–3,650,68–6,15
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
20%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,604,316,92sigur1,17–4,042,76–5,873,93–9,91mai sigur0,78–4,432,33–6,293,11–10,72
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,39 1,42–3,36 1,17–3,61 | 1,05 0,20–1,91 0,00–2,14 | 3,45 1,62–5,27 1,14–5,75 | 67% 18% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,64 4,77–8,50 4,28–8,99 | 4,06 2,32–5,80 1,85–6,27 | 10,69 7,09–14,30 6,13–15,25 | 74% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 20,12 16,19–24,04 15,10–25,13 | 10,80 7,24–14,37 6,28–15,32 | 30,92 23,43–38,41 21,38–40,46 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,91 10,97–16,86 10,14–17,69 | 7,53 4,85–10,21 4,11–10,95 | 21,45 15,82–27,07 14,26–28,64 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,91 4,03–7,79 3,48–8,33 | 2,32 0,66–3,97 0,17–4,46 | 8,23 4,69–11,76 3,66–12,80 | 86% |
| Cornere | 8,22 6,00–10,43 5,43–11,01 | 3,77 1,77–5,77 1,24–6,30 | 11,99 7,77–16,20 6,67–17,31 | 88% |
| Posesie % | 64,31 57,52–71,10 55,85–72,77 | 35,74 28,96–42,53 27,28–44,20 | — | 95% |
| Pase | 611 543–678 525–696 | 347 280–413 263–431 | 957 824–1091 788–1127 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,96 72,93–80,98 71,63–82,28 | 67,21 62,89–71,54 61,58–72,85 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 9,41 6,57–12,25 5,82–13,01 | 12,32 9,37–15,26 8,63–16,01 | 21,73 15,95–27,51 14,44–29,02 | 23% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,67 0,51–2,83 0,21–3,14 | 2,97 1,87–4,06 1,58–4,35 | 4,64 2,39–6,89 1,80–7,48 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,18 0,14–2,23 0,00–2,50 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 3,41 1,23–5,59 0,68–6,15 | 19% 20% 61% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,60 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 4,31 2,76–5,87 2,33–6,29 | 6,92 3,93–9,91 3,11–10,72 | 20% 68% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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