Bundesliga·Etapa 27·
Bundesliga·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
61%
20%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,111,093,20sigur1,14–3,070,24–1,951,38–5,02mai sigur0,89–3,330,01–2,180,90–5,50
Șuturi pe poartă
76%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,533,8210,36sigur4,67–8,402,08–5,566,75–13,96mai sigur4,18–8,891,61–6,035,80–14,92
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,8710,7330,60sigur15,94–23,797,17–14,2923,11–38,09mai sigur14,85–24,896,21–15,2521,06–40,14
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,406,8720,28sigur10,46–16,344,19–9,5614,65–25,90mai sigur9,63–17,173,46–10,2913,09–27,47
Șuturi blocate
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,892,898,78sigur4,01–7,771,23–4,545,24–12,31mai sigur3,47–8,320,74–5,034,21–13,35
Cornere
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,703,6010,30sigur4,48–8,911,60–5,606,09–14,51mai sigur3,91–9,481,07–6,144,98–15,62
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,6245,08sigur47,83–61,4138,30–51,86mai sigur46,16–63,0836,62–53,54
Pase
79%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție511413924sigur444–578346–479790–1057mai sigur426–596329–497754–1093
Precizie pase %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,6373,52sigur71,60–79,6669,19–77,84mai sigur70,31–80,9567,89–79,15
Faulturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1412,5622,71sigur7,31–12,989,62–15,5116,92–28,49mai sigur6,55–13,748,87–16,2615,42–29,99
Ofsaiduri
58%
20%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,241,313,55sigur1,08–3,400,21–2,401,29–5,80mai sigur0,78–3,700,00–2,690,70–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
22%
22%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,121,893,01sigur0,07–2,170,76–3,020,83–5,19mai sigur0,00–2,440,47–3,310,27–5,75
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,110,15sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,430,00–0,78
Parade portar
20%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,654,377,02sigur1,21–4,082,82–5,934,03–10,01mai sigur0,82–4,472,39–6,353,22–10,82
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,11 1,14–3,07 0,89–3,33 | 1,09 0,24–1,95 0,01–2,18 | 3,20 1,38–5,02 0,90–5,50 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,53 4,67–8,40 4,18–8,89 | 3,82 2,08–5,56 1,61–6,03 | 10,36 6,75–13,96 5,80–14,92 | 76% 16% |
| Total șuturi | 19,87 15,94–23,79 14,85–24,89 | 10,73 7,17–14,29 6,21–15,25 | 30,60 23,11–38,09 21,06–40,14 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,40 10,46–16,34 9,63–17,17 | 6,87 4,19–9,56 3,46–10,29 | 20,28 14,65–25,90 13,09–27,47 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,89 4,01–7,77 3,47–8,32 | 2,89 1,23–4,54 0,74–5,03 | 8,78 5,24–12,31 4,21–13,35 | 80% |
| Cornere | 6,70 4,48–8,91 3,91–9,48 | 3,60 1,60–5,60 1,07–6,14 | 10,30 6,09–14,51 4,98–15,62 | 79% |
| Posesie % | 54,62 47,83–61,41 46,16–63,08 | 45,08 38,30–51,86 36,62–53,54 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 511 444–578 426–596 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 924 790–1057 754–1093 | 79% 21% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,63 71,60–79,66 70,31–80,95 | 73,52 69,19–77,84 67,89–79,15 | — | 58% 37% |
| Faulturi | 10,14 7,31–12,98 6,55–13,74 | 12,56 9,62–15,51 8,87–16,26 | 22,71 16,92–28,49 15,42–29,99 | 27% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,24 1,08–3,40 0,78–3,70 | 1,31 0,21–2,40 0,00–2,69 | 3,55 1,29–5,80 0,70–6,39 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,12 0,07–2,17 0,00–2,44 | 1,89 0,76–3,02 0,47–3,31 | 3,01 0,83–5,19 0,27–5,75 | 22% 22% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,65 1,21–4,08 0,82–4,47 | 4,37 2,82–5,93 2,39–6,35 | 7,02 4,03–10,01 3,22–10,82 | 20% 68% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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