Bundesliga·Etapa 27·
Bundesliga·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
22%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,083,04sigur0,99–2,930,23–1,941,22–4,86mai sigur0,74–3,180,00–2,160,74–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,633,549,17sigur3,77–7,491,80–5,295,57–12,78mai sigur3,28–7,981,34–5,754,61–13,73
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,2210,2928,51sigur14,30–22,156,72–13,8521,02–36,00mai sigur13,21–23,245,76–14,8118,97–38,05
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,476,6519,12sigur9,53–15,413,97–9,3313,49–24,74mai sigur8,70–16,243,23–10,0711,93–26,31
Șuturi blocate
61%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,643,317,95sigur2,76–6,521,66–4,964,41–11,48mai sigur2,21–7,061,16–5,453,38–12,52
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,253,9510,20sigur4,04–8,461,95–5,955,98–14,41mai sigur3,46–9,041,42–6,484,88–15,52
Posesie %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,7747,30sigur45,98–59,5640,52–54,09mai sigur44,31–61,2338,85–55,76
Pase
68%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție465407872sigur398–532340–473738–1005mai sigur379–550323–491702–1041
Precizie pase %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,1867,99sigur66,15–74,2163,67–72,31mai sigur64,86–75,5062,36–73,62
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9010,6821,58sigur8,06–13,737,74–13,6315,80–27,36mai sigur7,30–14,496,99–14,3814,29–28,87
Ofsaiduri
50%
22%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,353,25sigur0,74–3,060,26–2,451,00–5,51mai sigur0,44–3,360,00–2,730,41–6,10
Cartonașe galbene
26%
23%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,843,11sigur0,22–2,320,72–2,970,93–5,29mai sigur0,00–2,580,42–3,260,38–5,85
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
20%
14%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,293,796,07sigur0,85–3,722,23–5,343,08–9,07mai sigur0,46–4,111,81–5,772,27–9,88
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,96 0,99–2,93 0,74–3,18 | 1,08 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,16 | 3,04 1,22–4,86 0,74–5,34 | 58% 22% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,63 3,77–7,49 3,28–7,98 | 3,54 1,80–5,29 1,34–5,75 | 9,17 5,57–12,78 4,61–13,73 | 70% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 18,22 14,30–22,15 13,21–23,24 | 10,29 6,72–13,85 5,76–14,81 | 28,51 21,02–36,00 18,97–38,05 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,47 9,53–15,41 8,70–16,24 | 6,65 3,97–9,33 3,23–10,07 | 19,12 13,49–24,74 11,93–26,31 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,64 2,76–6,52 2,21–7,06 | 3,31 1,66–4,96 1,16–5,45 | 7,95 4,41–11,48 3,38–12,52 | 61% 26% |
| Cornere | 6,25 4,04–8,46 3,46–9,04 | 3,95 1,95–5,95 1,42–6,48 | 10,20 5,98–14,41 4,88–15,52 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 52,77 45,98–59,56 44,31–61,23 | 47,30 40,52–54,09 38,85–55,76 | — | 60% 35% |
| Pase | 465 398–532 379–550 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 872 738–1005 702–1041 | 68% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,18 66,15–74,21 64,86–75,50 | 67,99 63,67–72,31 62,36–73,62 | — | 59% 36% |
| Faulturi | 10,90 8,06–13,73 7,30–14,49 | 10,68 7,74–13,63 6,99–14,38 | 21,58 15,80–27,36 14,29–28,87 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 1,35 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,73 | 3,25 1,00–5,51 0,41–6,10 | 50% 22% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,27 0,22–2,32 0,00–2,58 | 1,84 0,72–2,97 0,42–3,26 | 3,11 0,93–5,29 0,38–5,85 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,29 0,85–3,72 0,46–4,11 | 3,79 2,23–5,34 1,81–5,77 | 6,07 3,08–9,07 2,27–9,88 | 20% 14% 66% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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