Bundesliga·Etapa 27·
Bundesliga·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
22%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,933,19sigur0,30–2,231,07–2,781,37–5,02mai sigur0,05–2,480,84–3,010,89–5,49
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,365,029,38sigur2,50–6,233,28–6,765,78–12,99mai sigur2,01–6,722,81–7,234,82–13,94
Total șuturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9214,1127,03sigur9,00–16,8510,55–17,6719,55–34,52mai sigur7,91–17,949,59–18,6317,50–36,57
Șuturi din careu
25%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,479,7817,25sigur4,53–10,417,10–12,4611,62–22,87mai sigur3,70–11,246,36–13,2010,06–24,44
Șuturi blocate
34%
15%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,293,917,19sigur1,40–5,172,25–5,563,66–10,73mai sigur0,86–5,711,76–6,052,62–11,76
Cornere
32%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,295,269,55sigur2,08–6,513,26–7,265,34–13,76mai sigur1,51–7,082,72–7,794,23–14,87
Posesie %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,1456,18sigur37,35–50,9349,40–62,97mai sigur35,68–52,6047,73–64,64
Pase
18%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție404512916sigur337–471445–578782–1049mai sigur319–489428–596746–1085
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,9374,70sigur61,90–69,9670,38–79,02mai sigur60,61–71,2569,07–80,33
Faulturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2313,0824,31sigur8,39–14,0710,14–16,0318,53–30,10mai sigur7,64–14,829,39–16,7817,03–31,60
Ofsaiduri
37%
25%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,472,92sigur0,29–2,610,38–2,570,67–5,17mai sigur0,00–2,910,09–2,850,08–5,76
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,692,033,72sigur0,64–2,740,90–3,161,54–5,90mai sigur0,37–3,000,61–3,450,98–6,45
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,120,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,440,00–0,84
Parade portar
48%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,382,976,35sigur1,95–4,821,41–4,523,36–9,34mai sigur1,56–5,200,99–4,952,54–10,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,30–2,23 0,05–2,48 | 1,93 1,07–2,78 0,84–3,01 | 3,19 1,37–5,02 0,89–5,49 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,36 2,50–6,23 2,01–6,72 | 5,02 3,28–6,76 2,81–7,23 | 9,38 5,78–12,99 4,82–13,94 | 35% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 12,92 9,00–16,85 7,91–17,94 | 14,11 10,55–17,67 9,59–18,63 | 27,03 19,55–34,52 17,50–36,57 | 37% 55% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,47 4,53–10,41 3,70–11,24 | 9,78 7,10–12,46 6,36–13,20 | 17,25 11,62–22,87 10,06–24,44 | 25% 67% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,29 1,40–5,17 0,86–5,71 | 3,91 2,25–5,56 1,76–6,05 | 7,19 3,66–10,73 2,62–11,76 | 34% 15% 52% |
| Cornere | 4,29 2,08–6,51 1,51–7,08 | 5,26 3,26–7,26 2,72–7,79 | 9,55 5,34–13,76 4,23–14,87 | 32% 56% |
| Posesie % | 44,14 37,35–50,93 35,68–52,60 | 56,18 49,40–62,97 47,73–64,64 | — | 22% 74% |
| Pase | 404 337–471 319–489 | 512 445–578 428–596 | 916 782–1049 746–1085 | 18% 81% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,93 61,90–69,96 60,61–71,25 | 74,70 70,38–79,02 69,07–80,33 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 11,23 8,39–14,07 7,64–14,82 | 13,08 10,14–16,03 9,39–16,78 | 24,31 18,53–30,10 17,03–31,60 | 32% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,45 0,29–2,61 0,00–2,91 | 1,47 0,38–2,57 0,09–2,85 | 2,92 0,67–5,17 0,08–5,76 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,69 0,64–2,74 0,37–3,00 | 2,03 0,90–3,16 0,61–3,45 | 3,72 1,54–5,90 0,98–6,45 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,38 1,95–4,82 1,56–5,20 | 2,97 1,41–4,52 0,99–4,95 | 6,35 3,36–9,34 2,54–10,15 | 48% 16% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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