Bundesliga·Etapa 28·
Bundesliga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,432,99sigur0,60–2,530,57–2,281,17–4,81mai sigur0,34–2,780,34–2,510,69–5,29
Șuturi pe poartă
56%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,004,049,04sigur3,14–6,872,29–5,785,44–12,65mai sigur2,65–7,361,83–6,254,48–13,60
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1111,5026,61sigur11,19–19,047,94–15,0619,13–34,10mai sigur10,10–20,136,98–16,0217,08–36,15
Șuturi din careu
60%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,327,8117,14sigur6,38–12,265,13–10,5011,51–22,76mai sigur5,55–13,094,40–11,239,95–24,33
Șuturi blocate
50%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,943,467,40sigur2,06–5,831,80–5,113,87–10,94mai sigur1,52–6,371,31–5,602,83–11,97
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,534,289,81sigur3,32–7,742,28–6,285,59–14,02mai sigur2,74–8,321,74–6,814,49–15,13
Posesie %
56%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,0848,72sigur45,29–58,8741,94–55,51mai sigur43,62–60,5440,26–57,18
Pase
61%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție504472976sigur437–572405–538842–1110mai sigur419–590388–556807–1145
Precizie pase %
49%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,2474,85sigur71,21–79,2770,52–79,17mai sigur69,92–80,5669,21–80,48
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9312,6823,61sigur8,09–13,769,74–15,6317,83–29,39mai sigur7,33–14,528,99–16,3816,32–30,90
Ofsaiduri
49%
21%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,161,683,84sigur1,00–3,320,59–2,781,59–6,10mai sigur0,70–3,620,30–3,061,00–6,69
Cartonașe galbene
30%
20%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,193,86sigur0,62–2,721,06–3,311,68–6,04mai sigur0,36–2,990,77–3,611,12–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,100,20sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
33%
17%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,623,195,80sigur1,18–4,051,63–4,742,81–8,80mai sigur0,79–4,441,21–5,172,00–9,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,56 0,60–2,53 0,34–2,78 | 1,43 0,57–2,28 0,34–2,51 | 2,99 1,17–4,81 0,69–5,29 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,00 3,14–6,87 2,65–7,36 | 4,04 2,29–5,78 1,83–6,25 | 9,04 5,44–12,65 4,48–13,60 | 56% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 15,11 11,19–19,04 10,10–20,13 | 11,50 7,94–15,06 6,98–16,02 | 26,61 19,13–34,10 17,08–36,15 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,32 6,38–12,26 5,55–13,09 | 7,81 5,13–10,50 4,40–11,23 | 17,14 11,51–22,76 9,95–24,33 | 60% 31% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,94 2,06–5,83 1,52–6,37 | 3,46 1,80–5,11 1,31–5,60 | 7,40 3,87–10,94 2,83–11,97 | 50% 15% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,53 3,32–7,74 2,74–8,32 | 4,28 2,28–6,28 1,74–6,81 | 9,81 5,59–14,02 4,49–15,13 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 52,08 45,29–58,87 43,62–60,54 | 48,72 41,94–55,51 40,26–57,18 | — | 56% 40% |
| Pase | 504 437–572 419–590 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 976 842–1110 807–1145 | 61% 39% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,24 71,21–79,27 69,92–80,56 | 74,85 70,52–79,17 69,21–80,48 | — | 49% 45% |
| Faulturi | 10,93 8,09–13,76 7,33–14,52 | 12,68 9,74–15,63 8,99–16,38 | 23,61 17,83–29,39 16,32–30,90 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,16 1,00–3,32 0,70–3,62 | 1,68 0,59–2,78 0,30–3,06 | 3,84 1,59–6,10 1,00–6,69 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,72 0,36–2,99 | 2,19 1,06–3,31 0,77–3,61 | 3,86 1,68–6,04 1,12–6,60 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 3,19 1,63–4,74 1,21–5,17 | 5,80 2,81–8,80 2,00–9,61 | 33% 17% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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