Bundesliga·Etapa 28·
Bundesliga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,833,46sigur0,66–2,600,97–2,681,64–5,28mai sigur0,41–2,850,74–2,911,16–5,76
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,065,8410,89sigur3,19–6,924,09–7,587,29–14,50mai sigur2,70–7,413,63–8,046,33–15,45
Total șuturi
45%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9315,1730,10sigur11,00–18,8511,61–18,7322,61–37,59mai sigur9,91–19,9410,65–19,6920,56–39,64
Șuturi din careu
37%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6710,6120,28sigur6,73–12,617,93–13,3014,66–25,91mai sigur5,90–13,447,20–14,0313,09–27,47
Șuturi blocate
42%
14%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,194,238,43sigur2,31–6,072,58–5,894,89–11,96mai sigur1,77–6,622,09–6,383,85–13,00
Cornere
37%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,945,4810,42sigur2,73–7,163,48–7,486,20–14,63mai sigur2,15–7,732,94–8,015,10–15,74
Posesie %
31%
65%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,4353,98sigur39,64–53,2247,20–60,77mai sigur37,97–54,8945,52–62,44
Pase
29%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție420485905sigur353–487419–552771–1039mai sigur334–505401–569736–1074
Precizie pase %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,7775,17sigur65,74–73,8070,85–79,49mai sigur64,45–75,0969,54–80,80
Faulturi
46%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6911,6323,32sigur8,85–14,538,69–14,5817,54–29,10mai sigur8,10–15,287,94–15,3316,04–30,61
Ofsaiduri
37%
24%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,573,11sigur0,38–2,700,48–2,670,86–5,37mai sigur0,08–3,000,19–2,950,27–5,95
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,973,67sigur0,65–2,750,84–3,101,49–5,85mai sigur0,39–3,020,55–3,390,94–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,070,16sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,260,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,390,00–0,79
Parade portar
50%
15%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,743,206,94sigur2,30–5,171,64–4,763,94–9,93mai sigur1,91–5,561,22–5,183,13–10,74
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,83 0,97–2,68 0,74–2,91 | 3,46 1,64–5,28 1,16–5,76 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,06 3,19–6,92 2,70–7,41 | 5,84 4,09–7,58 3,63–8,04 | 10,89 7,29–14,50 6,33–15,45 | 35% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 14,93 11,00–18,85 9,91–19,94 | 15,17 11,61–18,73 10,65–19,69 | 30,10 22,61–37,59 20,56–39,64 | 45% 48% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,67 6,73–12,61 5,90–13,44 | 10,61 7,93–13,30 7,20–14,03 | 20,28 14,66–25,91 13,09–27,47 | 37% 54% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,19 2,31–6,07 1,77–6,62 | 4,23 2,58–5,89 2,09–6,38 | 8,43 4,89–11,96 3,85–13,00 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Cornere | 4,94 2,73–7,16 2,15–7,73 | 5,48 3,48–7,48 2,94–8,01 | 10,42 6,20–14,63 5,10–15,74 | 37% 50% |
| Posesie % | 46,43 39,64–53,22 37,97–54,89 | 53,98 47,20–60,77 45,52–62,44 | — | 31% 65% |
| Pase | 420 353–487 334–505 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 905 771–1039 736–1074 | 29% 71% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,77 65,74–73,80 64,45–75,09 | 75,17 70,85–79,49 69,54–80,80 | — | 22% 74% |
| Faulturi | 11,69 8,85–14,53 8,10–15,28 | 11,63 8,69–14,58 7,94–15,33 | 23,32 17,54–29,10 16,04–30,61 | 46% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 1,57 0,48–2,67 0,19–2,95 | 3,11 0,86–5,37 0,27–5,95 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,70 0,65–2,75 0,39–3,02 | 1,97 0,84–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 3,67 1,49–5,85 0,94–6,41 | 34% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,74 2,30–5,17 1,91–5,56 | 3,20 1,64–4,76 1,22–5,18 | 6,94 3,94–9,93 3,13–10,74 | 50% 15% 34% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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