Bundesliga·Etapa 28·
Bundesliga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
23%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,873,18sigur0,34–2,281,02–2,731,36–5,01mai sigur0,09–2,530,79–2,950,88–5,49
Șuturi pe poartă
27%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,516,0010,51sigur2,65–6,384,26–7,746,91–14,12mai sigur2,16–6,873,79–8,215,95–15,07
Total șuturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4316,9830,42sigur9,51–17,3613,42–20,5522,93–37,90mai sigur8,42–18,4512,46–21,5120,88–39,95
Șuturi din careu
22%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,7811,7720,55sigur5,83–11,729,09–14,4514,92–26,17mai sigur5,00–12,558,35–15,1913,36–27,74
Șuturi blocate
28%
13%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,474,598,06sigur1,59–5,362,94–6,244,53–11,60mai sigur1,05–5,902,45–6,743,49–12,64
Cornere
37%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,115,7010,80sigur2,89–7,323,70–7,706,59–15,02mai sigur2,32–7,893,16–8,235,48–16,12
Posesie %
34%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,5253,40sigur40,73–54,3146,62–60,19mai sigur39,06–55,9844,94–61,86
Pase
33%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție408459867sigur341–475393–526733–1001mai sigur323–493375–543698–1036
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,2573,24sigur59,22–67,2868,91–77,56mai sigur57,92–68,5767,61–78,87
Faulturi
29%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9913,1524,14sigur8,16–13,8310,21–16,0918,36–29,93mai sigur7,40–14,599,46–16,8416,86–31,43
Ofsaiduri
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,622,093,71sigur0,46–2,781,00–3,181,45–5,96mai sigur0,15–3,080,71–3,470,86–6,55
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,512,003,52sigur0,47–2,560,87–3,131,34–5,69mai sigur0,20–2,830,58–3,420,78–6,25
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,813,026,83sigur2,38–5,251,46–4,573,84–9,82mai sigur1,99–5,641,04–5,003,03–10,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,31 0,34–2,28 0,09–2,53 | 1,87 1,02–2,73 0,79–2,95 | 3,18 1,36–5,01 0,88–5,49 | 27% 23% 51% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,51 2,65–6,38 2,16–6,87 | 6,00 4,26–7,74 3,79–8,21 | 10,51 6,91–14,12 5,95–15,07 | 27% 62% |
| Total șuturi | 13,43 9,51–17,36 8,42–18,45 | 16,98 13,42–20,55 12,46–21,51 | 30,42 22,93–37,90 20,88–39,95 | 23% 71% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,78 5,83–11,72 5,00–12,55 | 11,77 9,09–14,45 8,35–15,19 | 20,55 14,92–26,17 13,36–27,74 | 22% 71% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,47 1,59–5,36 1,05–5,90 | 4,59 2,94–6,24 2,45–6,74 | 8,06 4,53–11,60 3,49–12,64 | 28% 13% 58% |
| Cornere | 5,11 2,89–7,32 2,32–7,89 | 5,70 3,70–7,70 3,16–8,23 | 10,80 6,59–15,02 5,48–16,12 | 37% 51% |
| Posesie % | 47,52 40,73–54,31 39,06–55,98 | 53,40 46,62–60,19 44,94–61,86 | — | 34% 61% |
| Pase | 408 341–475 323–493 | 459 393–526 375–543 | 867 733–1001 698–1036 | 33% 66% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,25 59,22–67,28 57,92–68,57 | 73,24 68,91–77,56 67,61–78,87 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 10,99 8,16–13,83 7,40–14,59 | 13,15 10,21–16,09 9,46–16,84 | 24,14 18,36–29,93 16,86–31,43 | 29% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,15–3,08 | 2,09 1,00–3,18 0,71–3,47 | 3,71 1,45–5,96 0,86–6,55 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,51 0,47–2,56 0,20–2,83 | 2,00 0,87–3,13 0,58–3,42 | 3,52 1,34–5,69 0,78–6,25 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,81 2,38–5,25 1,99–5,64 | 3,02 1,46–4,57 1,04–5,00 | 6,83 3,84–9,82 3,03–10,64 | 54% 15% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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