Bundesliga·Etapa 28·
Bundesliga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,823,34sigur0,55–2,490,97–2,681,52–5,16mai sigur0,30–2,740,74–2,911,04–5,64
Șuturi pe poartă
37%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,885,3910,27sigur3,02–6,743,65–7,146,67–13,88mai sigur2,53–7,233,19–7,605,71–14,83
Total șuturi
39%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6614,7128,36sigur9,73–17,5811,14–18,2720,88–35,85mai sigur8,64–18,6710,18–19,2318,82–37,90
Șuturi din careu
33%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,8010,1718,97sigur5,86–11,747,49–12,8513,35–24,59mai sigur5,03–12,576,75–13,5911,78–26,16
Șuturi blocate
46%
14%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,103,908,00sigur2,22–5,982,24–5,554,46–11,53mai sigur1,67–6,531,75–6,043,43–12,57
Cornere
41%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,815,069,87sigur2,60–7,033,06–7,065,66–14,08mai sigur2,03–7,602,52–7,594,55–15,19
Posesie %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,4652,85sigur40,67–54,2546,06–59,63mai sigur39,00–55,9244,39–61,30
Pase
36%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție449493942sigur382–517426–559808–1076mai sigur364–535409–577773–1111
Precizie pase %
18%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,0174,73sigur63,98–72,0470,40–79,05mai sigur62,68–73,3369,09–80,36
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4811,5023,99sigur9,64–15,328,56–14,4518,20–29,77mai sigur8,89–16,087,81–15,2016,70–31,27
Ofsaiduri
38%
25%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,462,93sigur0,31–2,630,36–2,550,68–5,18mai sigur0,01–2,930,08–2,840,09–5,77
Cartonașe galbene
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,873,70sigur0,78–2,880,74–3,001,52–5,88mai sigur0,51–3,150,45–3,290,96–6,43
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
46%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,623,387,00sigur2,19–5,061,82–4,944,01–9,99mai sigur1,80–5,451,40–5,363,20–10,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,52 0,55–2,49 0,30–2,74 | 1,82 0,97–2,68 0,74–2,91 | 3,34 1,52–5,16 1,04–5,64 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,88 3,02–6,74 2,53–7,23 | 5,39 3,65–7,14 3,19–7,60 | 10,27 6,67–13,88 5,71–14,83 | 37% 50% |
| Total șuturi | 13,66 9,73–17,58 8,64–18,67 | 14,71 11,14–18,27 10,18–19,23 | 28,36 20,88–35,85 18,82–37,90 | 39% 54% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,80 5,86–11,74 5,03–12,57 | 10,17 7,49–12,85 6,75–13,59 | 18,97 13,35–24,59 11,78–26,16 | 33% 58% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,10 2,22–5,98 1,67–6,53 | 3,90 2,24–5,55 1,75–6,04 | 8,00 4,46–11,53 3,43–12,57 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Cornere | 4,81 2,60–7,03 2,03–7,60 | 5,06 3,06–7,06 2,52–7,59 | 9,87 5,66–14,08 4,55–15,19 | 41% 47% |
| Posesie % | 47,46 40,67–54,25 39,00–55,92 | 52,85 46,06–59,63 44,39–61,30 | — | 35% 60% |
| Pase | 449 382–517 364–535 | 493 426–559 409–577 | 942 808–1076 773–1111 | 36% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,01 63,98–72,04 62,68–73,33 | 74,73 70,40–79,05 69,09–80,36 | — | 18% 79% |
| Faulturi | 12,48 9,64–15,32 8,89–16,08 | 11,50 8,56–14,45 7,81–15,20 | 23,99 18,20–29,77 16,70–31,27 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,47 0,31–2,63 0,01–2,93 | 1,46 0,36–2,55 0,08–2,84 | 2,93 0,68–5,18 0,09–5,77 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,83 0,78–2,88 0,51–3,15 | 1,87 0,74–3,00 0,45–3,29 | 3,70 1,52–5,88 0,96–6,43 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,62 2,19–5,06 1,80–5,45 | 3,38 1,82–4,94 1,40–5,36 | 7,00 4,01–9,99 3,20–10,81 | 46% 15% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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