Bundesliga·Etapa 29·
Bundesliga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,850,813,66sigur1,88–3,820,00–1,661,83–5,48mai sigur1,63–4,070,00–1,891,35–5,96
Șuturi pe poartă
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,412,9510,36sigur5,55–9,271,21–4,696,75–13,96mai sigur5,06–9,760,74–5,165,80–14,92
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,908,2927,19sigur14,98–22,824,73–11,8519,70–34,68mai sigur13,88–23,923,77–12,8117,65–36,73
Șuturi din careu
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,205,9120,11sigur11,26–17,143,23–8,5914,49–25,74mai sigur10,43–17,972,49–9,3312,92–27,30
Șuturi blocate
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,472,347,81sigur3,59–7,350,69–4,004,28–11,35mai sigur3,04–7,890,20–4,493,24–12,38
Cornere
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,633,1310,76sigur5,42–9,841,13–5,136,55–14,98mai sigur4,84–10,420,60–5,665,44–16,08
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,1337,31sigur55,34–68,9230,52–44,09mai sigur53,67–70,5928,85–45,76
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție613360973sigur546–680294–427839–1107mai sigur527–698276–444804–1142
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,0768,64sigur74,04–82,1064,32–72,97mai sigur72,75–83,3963,01–74,28
Faulturi
42%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,489,8919,37sigur6,65–12,326,94–12,8313,59–25,15mai sigur5,89–13,086,19–13,5812,08–26,66
Ofsaiduri
43%
19%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,312,164,47sigur1,15–3,471,06–3,252,21–6,72mai sigur0,85–3,770,77–3,541,62–7,31
Cartonașe galbene
26%
25%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,081,562,64sigur0,03–2,130,43–2,690,46–4,82mai sigur0,00–2,390,14–2,980,00–5,38
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,110,15sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,300,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,430,00–0,78
Parade portar
13%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,114,406,51sigur0,68–3,552,85–5,963,52–9,51mai sigur0,29–3,942,42–6,382,71–10,32
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,85 1,88–3,82 1,63–4,07 | 0,81 0,00–1,66 0,00–1,89 | 3,66 1,83–5,48 1,35–5,96 | 79% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,41 5,55–9,27 5,06–9,76 | 2,95 1,21–4,69 0,74–5,16 | 10,36 6,75–13,96 5,80–14,92 | 90% |
| Total șuturi | 18,90 14,98–22,82 13,88–23,92 | 8,29 4,73–11,85 3,77–12,81 | 27,19 19,70–34,68 17,65–36,73 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,20 11,26–17,14 10,43–17,97 | 5,91 3,23–8,59 2,49–9,33 | 20,11 14,49–25,74 12,92–27,30 | 96% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,47 3,59–7,35 3,04–7,89 | 2,34 0,69–4,00 0,20–4,49 | 7,81 4,28–11,35 3,24–12,38 | 83% |
| Cornere | 7,63 5,42–9,84 4,84–10,42 | 3,13 1,13–5,13 0,60–5,66 | 10,76 6,55–14,98 5,44–16,08 | 89% |
| Posesie % | 62,13 55,34–68,92 53,67–70,59 | 37,31 30,52–44,09 28,85–45,76 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 613 546–680 527–698 | 360 294–427 276–444 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,07 74,04–82,10 72,75–83,39 | 68,64 64,32–72,97 63,01–74,28 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 9,48 6,65–12,32 5,89–13,08 | 9,89 6,94–12,83 6,19–13,58 | 19,37 13,59–25,15 12,08–26,66 | 42% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,31 1,15–3,47 0,85–3,77 | 2,16 1,06–3,25 0,77–3,54 | 4,47 2,21–6,72 1,62–7,31 | 43% 19% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,08 0,03–2,13 0,00–2,39 | 1,56 0,43–2,69 0,14–2,98 | 2,64 0,46–4,82 0,00–5,38 | 26% 25% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,11 0,68–3,55 0,29–3,94 | 4,40 2,85–5,96 2,42–6,38 | 6,51 3,52–9,51 2,71–10,32 | 13% 76% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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