Bundesliga·Etapa 29·
Bundesliga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
18%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,481,263,74sigur1,51–3,450,40–2,111,92–5,56mai sigur1,26–3,700,17–2,341,44–6,04
Șuturi pe poartă
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,604,2311,83sigur5,74–9,462,49–5,978,22–15,43mai sigur5,25–9,952,02–6,447,27–16,39
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție22,3211,6834,00sigur18,39–26,248,12–15,2526,51–41,49mai sigur17,30–27,337,16–16,2124,46–43,54
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,858,3623,21sigur11,91–17,795,68–11,0417,59–28,83mai sigur11,08–18,624,94–11,7816,02–30,40
Șuturi blocate
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,663,268,92sigur3,78–7,541,61–4,915,38–12,46mai sigur3,23–8,091,11–5,414,35–13,49
Cornere
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,603,8011,40sigur5,39–9,821,80–5,807,19–15,61mai sigur4,82–10,391,26–6,336,08–16,72
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,8443,13sigur51,05–64,6336,35–49,92mai sigur49,38–66,3034,68–51,59
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție570412982sigur503–637345–478848–1116mai sigur485–655328–496813–1151
Precizie pase %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,1472,32sigur71,11–79,1768,00–76,64mai sigur69,81–80,4666,69–77,95
Faulturi
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6510,9121,56sigur7,81–13,497,97–13,8615,78–27,34mai sigur7,05–14,247,22–14,6114,27–28,85
Ofsaiduri
62%
19%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,431,313,73sigur1,27–3,590,21–2,401,48–5,99mai sigur0,97–3,890,00–2,690,89–6,58
Cartonașe galbene
27%
24%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,191,672,86sigur0,14–2,240,54–2,800,68–5,04mai sigur0,00–2,510,25–3,090,13–5,60
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
16%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,664,797,45sigur1,22–4,093,23–6,344,45–10,44mai sigur0,83–4,482,81–6,773,64–11,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,48 1,51–3,45 1,26–3,70 | 1,26 0,40–2,11 0,17–2,34 | 3,74 1,92–5,56 1,44–6,04 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,60 5,74–9,46 5,25–9,95 | 4,23 2,49–5,97 2,02–6,44 | 11,83 8,22–15,43 7,27–16,39 | 80% |
| Total șuturi | 22,32 18,39–26,24 17,30–27,33 | 11,68 8,12–15,25 7,16–16,21 | 34,00 26,51–41,49 24,46–43,54 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,85 11,91–17,79 11,08–18,62 | 8,36 5,68–11,04 4,94–11,78 | 23,21 17,59–28,83 16,02–30,40 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,66 3,78–7,54 3,23–8,09 | 3,26 1,61–4,91 1,11–5,41 | 8,92 5,38–12,46 4,35–13,49 | 74% 16% |
| Cornere | 7,60 5,39–9,82 4,82–10,39 | 3,80 1,80–5,80 1,26–6,33 | 11,40 7,19–15,61 6,08–16,72 | 84% |
| Posesie % | 57,84 51,05–64,63 49,38–66,30 | 43,13 36,35–49,92 34,68–51,59 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 570 503–637 485–655 | 412 345–478 328–496 | 982 848–1116 813–1151 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,14 71,11–79,17 69,81–80,46 | 72,32 68,00–76,64 66,69–77,95 | — | 62% 33% |
| Faulturi | 10,65 7,81–13,49 7,05–14,24 | 10,91 7,97–13,86 7,22–14,61 | 21,56 15,78–27,34 14,27–28,85 | 43% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,43 1,27–3,59 0,97–3,89 | 1,31 0,21–2,40 0,00–2,69 | 3,73 1,48–5,99 0,89–6,58 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,19 0,14–2,24 0,00–2,51 | 1,67 0,54–2,80 0,25–3,09 | 2,86 0,68–5,04 0,13–5,60 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,66 1,22–4,09 0,83–4,48 | 4,79 3,23–6,34 2,81–6,77 | 7,45 4,45–10,44 3,64–11,25 | 16% 72% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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