Bundesliga·Etapa 29·
Bundesliga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
24%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,673,10sigur0,46–2,400,82–2,531,28–4,92mai sigur0,21–2,650,59–2,760,80–5,40
Șuturi pe poartă
44%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,894,899,78sigur3,03–6,753,15–6,636,17–13,38mai sigur2,54–7,242,68–7,105,22–14,34
Total șuturi
65%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2312,7027,93sigur11,31–19,169,13–16,2620,44–35,41mai sigur10,21–20,258,17–17,2218,39–37,46
Șuturi din careu
61%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,488,7719,25sigur7,54–13,426,09–11,4513,63–24,87mai sigur6,71–14,255,35–12,1912,06–26,44
Șuturi blocate
57%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,863,808,66sigur2,98–6,742,15–5,465,13–12,20mai sigur2,43–7,291,66–5,954,09–13,23
Cornere
52%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,184,499,67sigur2,97–7,392,49–6,495,45–13,88mai sigur2,39–7,971,95–7,024,35–14,99
Posesie %
60%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,8747,77sigur46,08–59,6640,98–54,55mai sigur44,41–61,3339,31–56,23
Pase
63%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție453413866sigur386–521346–479732–1000mai sigur368–539329–497697–1035
Precizie pase %
56%
39%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,0771,49sigur69,04–77,1067,17–75,81mai sigur67,74–78,3965,86–77,12
Faulturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6110,4924,10sigur10,77–16,457,55–13,4418,32–29,88mai sigur10,02–17,206,80–14,1916,82–31,39
Ofsaiduri
46%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,403,15sigur0,59–2,910,31–2,490,89–5,40mai sigur0,29–3,210,02–2,780,31–5,99
Cartonașe galbene
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,783,63sigur0,80–2,900,65–2,911,45–5,81mai sigur0,53–3,160,36–3,200,90–6,37
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,253,446,68sigur1,81–4,681,88–5,003,69–9,68mai sigur1,42–5,071,46–5,422,88–10,49
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,40 0,21–2,65 | 1,67 0,82–2,53 0,59–2,76 | 3,10 1,28–4,92 0,80–5,40 | 33% 24% 44% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,89 3,03–6,75 2,54–7,24 | 4,89 3,15–6,63 2,68–7,10 | 9,78 6,17–13,38 5,22–14,34 | 44% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 15,23 11,31–19,16 10,21–20,25 | 12,70 9,13–16,26 8,17–17,22 | 27,93 20,44–35,41 18,39–37,46 | 65% 28% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,48 7,54–13,42 6,71–14,25 | 8,77 6,09–11,45 5,35–12,19 | 19,25 13,63–24,87 12,06–26,44 | 61% 31% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,86 2,98–6,74 2,43–7,29 | 3,80 2,15–5,46 1,66–5,95 | 8,66 5,13–12,20 4,09–13,23 | 57% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,18 2,97–7,39 2,39–7,97 | 4,49 2,49–6,49 1,95–7,02 | 9,67 5,45–13,88 4,35–14,99 | 52% 35% |
| Posesie % | 52,87 46,08–59,66 44,41–61,33 | 47,77 40,98–54,55 39,31–56,23 | — | 60% 36% |
| Pase | 453 386–521 368–539 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 866 732–1000 697–1035 | 63% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,07 69,04–77,10 67,74–78,39 | 71,49 67,17–75,81 65,86–77,12 | — | 56% 39% |
| Faulturi | 13,61 10,77–16,45 10,02–17,20 | 10,49 7,55–13,44 6,80–14,19 | 24,10 18,32–29,88 16,82–31,39 | 70% 23% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,75 0,59–2,91 0,29–3,21 | 1,40 0,31–2,49 0,02–2,78 | 3,15 0,89–5,40 0,31–5,99 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,53–3,16 | 1,78 0,65–2,91 0,36–3,20 | 3,63 1,45–5,81 0,90–6,37 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,25 1,81–4,68 1,42–5,07 | 3,44 1,88–5,00 1,46–5,42 | 6,68 3,69–9,68 2,88–10,49 | 39% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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