Bundesliga·Etapa 29·
Bundesliga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,343,01sigur0,70–2,640,49–2,201,19–4,83mai sigur0,45–2,890,26–2,420,71–5,31
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,124,409,52sigur3,26–6,992,66–6,145,92–13,13mai sigur2,77–7,482,19–6,614,96–14,08
Total șuturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1312,4527,58sigur11,21–19,058,89–16,0120,09–35,07mai sigur10,11–20,157,93–16,9718,04–37,12
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,008,0619,06sigur8,06–13,945,38–10,7413,44–24,68mai sigur7,23–14,774,64–11,4811,87–26,25
Șuturi blocate
35%
14%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,724,267,98sigur1,84–5,602,61–5,914,45–11,52mai sigur1,29–6,152,12–6,413,41–12,55
Cornere
53%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,644,8810,52sigur3,43–7,862,88–6,886,31–14,73mai sigur2,86–8,432,34–7,415,20–15,84
Posesie %
23%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,9956,65sigur38,20–51,7849,86–63,43mai sigur36,53–53,4548,19–65,10
Pase
20%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție403504907sigur336–470437–570773–1040mai sigur318–488420–588737–1076
Precizie pase %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,2475,66sigur65,21–73,2771,33–79,98mai sigur63,92–74,5770,02–81,29
Faulturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6710,1121,79sigur8,84–14,517,17–13,0616,00–27,57mai sigur8,08–15,276,42–13,8014,50–29,07
Ofsaiduri
68%
16%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,821,354,18sigur1,66–3,980,26–2,451,93–6,43mai sigur1,36–4,290,00–2,741,34–7,02
Cartonașe galbene
38%
22%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,893,70sigur0,77–2,860,76–3,021,53–5,88mai sigur0,50–3,130,47–3,310,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
36%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,873,226,10sigur1,44–4,311,67–4,783,11–9,09mai sigur1,05–4,701,24–5,212,29–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,67 0,70–2,64 0,45–2,89 | 1,34 0,49–2,20 0,26–2,42 | 3,01 1,19–4,83 0,71–5,31 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,12 3,26–6,99 2,77–7,48 | 4,40 2,66–6,14 2,19–6,61 | 9,52 5,92–13,13 4,96–14,08 | 53% 34% |
| Total șuturi | 15,13 11,21–19,05 10,11–20,15 | 12,45 8,89–16,01 7,93–16,97 | 27,58 20,09–35,07 18,04–37,12 | 66% 27% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,00 8,06–13,94 7,23–14,77 | 8,06 5,38–10,74 4,64–11,48 | 19,06 13,44–24,68 11,87–26,25 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,72 1,84–5,60 1,29–6,15 | 4,26 2,61–5,91 2,12–6,41 | 7,98 4,45–11,52 3,41–12,55 | 35% 14% 50% |
| Cornere | 5,64 3,43–7,86 2,86–8,43 | 4,88 2,88–6,88 2,34–7,41 | 10,52 6,31–14,73 5,20–15,84 | 53% 35% |
| Posesie % | 44,99 38,20–51,78 36,53–53,45 | 56,65 49,86–63,43 48,19–65,10 | — | 23% 74% |
| Pase | 403 336–470 318–488 | 504 437–570 420–588 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 20% 80% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,24 65,21–73,27 63,92–74,57 | 75,66 71,33–79,98 70,02–81,29 | — | 19% 78% |
| Faulturi | 11,67 8,84–14,51 8,08–15,27 | 10,11 7,17–13,06 6,42–13,80 | 21,79 16,00–27,57 14,50–29,07 | 59% 33% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,82 1,66–3,98 1,36–4,29 | 1,35 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 4,18 1,93–6,43 1,34–7,02 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,81 0,77–2,86 0,50–3,13 | 1,89 0,76–3,02 0,47–3,31 | 3,70 1,53–5,88 0,97–6,44 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,87 1,44–4,31 1,05–4,70 | 3,22 1,67–4,78 1,24–5,21 | 6,10 3,11–9,09 2,29–9,90 | 36% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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